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Devils at Islanders
NHL

New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
1
New York Islanders
▸4
FinalTV MSG+, MSG+ 2·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 19:39 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were NJD 31, NYI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.7 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 30 of 31 (.968). Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jordan Eberle (2 G), 3. Noah Dobson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    N. Dobson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD06113012131
NYINYI21509211435

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(2)
    J. Bailey (1), N. Dobson (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:43
  2. NYI
    J. Eberle(1)
    A. Lee (1), M. Barzal (1)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:39

2nd period

  1. NJD
    N. Bastian(1)
    T. Smith (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:10

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(2)PPG
    N. Dobson (3), M. Barzal (2)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    1:56
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(2)PPG
    N. Leddy (3), J. Pageau (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    5:16

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

2nd

  • 8:45NYIBrock Nelson · Holdingdrawn by Ty Smith2 min
  • 13:45NJDTy Smith · Hookingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min

3rd

  • 1:34NJDTravis Zajac · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 3:44NJDserved by N. Gusev · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNJD goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 1st 19:39 — NYI 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.25M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.24A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.23B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.20J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.19A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.17A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.11B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.11M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.07R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYI
1.41 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD18%82%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.43 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYI
31
Shots on goal
35
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
22
11
Giveaways
11
0
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76P. SubbanD000-260.14220—22:40
28D. SeversonD000-150.29100—21:53
22R. MurrayD000-110.01120—21:38
70D. KulikovD000020.07120—20:03
24T. SmithD011+130.20012—18:39
86J. HughesC000000.000102717:16
21K. PalmieriC000010.07120016:39
44M. WoodL000020.09000—16:33
19T. ZajacC000-110.101024615:27
17Y. SharangovichC000000.00110014:53
14N. BastianR101020.162003314:48
37P. ZachaC000010.001004514:45
97N. GusevL000-140.16000—14:29
7M. TennysonD000+110.02510—14:29
90J. BoqvistC000000.00110014:00
20M. McLeodC000010.126004613:34
59J. KuokkanenC000010.01000012:11
11A. JohnssonL000-100.0011010012:09
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(L)35314.8863.33-0.6760:00

Season series

NYI leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).