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Jets at Senators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Ottawa Senators
▸2
FinalTV TSN3, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Winnipeg Jets 2-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Zaitsev's goal at 18:47 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 52% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were WPG 29, OTT 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Filip Gustavsson stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Gustavsson (28 saves, .966), 2. Connor Brown (1 G, 1 A), 3. Josh Morrissey (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    F. Gustavsson28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Brown1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0601716129
OTTOTT160418218

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    C. Brown(18)SHG
    N. Paul (14)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    11:31

3rd period

  1. WPG
    J. Morrissey(4)
    N. Pionk (27), B. Wheeler (26)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +26 pts
    1-1
    9:46
  2. OTT
    N. Zaitsev(3)
    D. Batherson (16), C. Brown (12)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +43 pts
    1-2
    18:47

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·OTT 14 PIM

1st

  • 2:37OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:38OTTNikita Zaitsev · Chargingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 14:30WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 19:55OTTTim Stützle · Trippingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

2nd

  • 5:18OTTJoshua Brown · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:11OTTDrake Batherson · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 9:55WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 12:17OTTNikita Zaitsev · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 19:43WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Trippingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min

3rd

  • 9:02OTTJoshua Brown · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 9:02WPGMathieu Perreault · Roughingdrawn by Joshua Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWPG goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Zaitsev, 3rd 18:47 — OTT 52% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.20N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.16R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.16J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.13C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.07C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.05D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Zaitsev · Goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 1.5 xG · 22 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsOTT
2.01 G
All situations
2 G1.5
1.01 G
Even strength
1 G0.7
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG60%40%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 1.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsOTT
29
Shots on goal
18
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/6
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
14
27
Hits
30
10
Blocked shots
20
6
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD101+190.47242—24:27
4N. PionkD011040.17400—23:54
81K. ConnorL000-120.17100—23:38
55M. ScheifeleC000010.132007423:36
26B. WheelerR011030.19100—20:56
9A. CoppC000-100.09200018:46
17A. LowryC000-120.173006717:57
24D. ForbortD000-100.00020—17:53
25P. StastnyC000-120.172107517:06
13P. DuboisC000020.101023816:13
85M. PerreaultC000000.00202015:46
2D. DeMeloD000010.00010—14:19
3T. PoolmanD000000.00110—14:15
64L. StanleyD000-100.05212—13:49
23T. LewisC000010.07100008:38
22M. AppletonC000-100.00300007:59
11N. ThompsonC000010.180005007:41
93K. VesalainenL000010.03000—05:55
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30L. Brossoit(L)18162.8891.52-0.4859:12

Season series

WPG leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).