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Jets at Senators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Ottawa Senators
3
Final/OTTV TVAS, TSN3·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Nikolaj Ehlers scoring at 2:20. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Senators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 2:20 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were WPG 28, OTT 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 38 of 41 (.927); Matt Murray stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Morrissey (2 A), 2. Alex Galchenyuk (1 G), 3. Josh Norris (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    A. Galchenyuk1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Norris1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG191811011428
OTTOTT2181140801341

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(1)PPG
    E. Dadonov (1), D. Batherson (3)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    4:41
  2. OTT
    C. Tierney(2)
    C. Brown (2), N. Zaitsev (4)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:31
  3. WPG
    A. Lowry(1)
    N. Pionk (3), M. Appleton (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    18:09

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. Galchenyuk(1)PPG
    M. Reilly (1), D. Stepan (1)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    11:47
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(3)PPG
    B. Wheeler (2), M. Scheifele (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    16:12

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(1)
    J. Morrissey (1), M. Scheifele (2)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    18:43

Overtime

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(1)
    A. Copp (1), J. Morrissey (2)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    2:20

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:35WPGDerek Forbort · Interferencedrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 6:55OTTArtem Anisimov · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 11:44OTTAlex Galchenyuk · Hookingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 14:42WPGLogan Stanley · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 0:42OTTBraydon Coburn · Hookingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 5:18WPGSami Niku · Hookingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 10:32WPGSami Niku · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:45OTTAustin Watson · Slashingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

3rd

  • 3:22WPGJansen Harkins · Holdingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 6:46OTTChris Tierney · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWPG goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, OT 2:20 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.21B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.20D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.16D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.15D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.14J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.14J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.10D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.08D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Tierney · Goal · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.05J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.05A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.04D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01
OTT3 G · 3.3 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsOTT
2.54 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.33 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
1.21 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG37%63%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
41
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/5
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
26
8
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD022+120.04300—27:20
4N. PionkD011+120.01210—25:34
24D. ForbortD000+100.00112—23:12
55M. ScheifeleC022030.410103322:50
26B. WheelerR112050.3720010021:19
9A. CoppC011+210.222005021:15
81K. ConnorL101+140.50100—21:02
88N. BeaulieuD000010.01420—20:30
17A. LowryC101+120.223004718:53
25P. StastnyC000+100.270006517:15
27N. EhlersL101+130.32000—16:36
85M. PerreaultC000010.08200010:47
8S. NikuD000-100.00014—10:14
23T. LewisC000010.01310009:58
22M. AppletonC011+120.04100009:20
12J. HarkinsC000010.01002009:19
11N. ThompsonC000000.001001708:51
64L. StanleyD000000.00012—06:46
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30L. Brossoit(W)41383.9273.30+0.3061:15

Season series

WPG leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).