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Jets at Senators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV TSN3, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 4:22 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were WPG 29, OTT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (28 saves, .966), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11031603429
OTTOTT01108110129

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(2)
    A. Copp (2), N. Beaulieu (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:50

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(2)
    K. Connor (3), N. Ehlers (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:22
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry(2)
    T. Lewis (1), D. Forbort (3)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    7:05
  3. WPG
    B. Wheeler(2)
    M. Scheifele (3), K. Connor (4)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    13:55

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. Tierney(3)
    N. Zaitsev (5), C. Brown (3)
    wristxG 0.15
    4-1
    17:03

Penalties

WPG 19 PIM·OTT 27 PIM

1st

  • 3:00OTTAlex Galchenyuk · Hookingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 16:18OTTChris Tierney · Slashingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 17:35WPGAndrew Copp · Holding the stickdrawn by Nick Paul2 min

2nd

  • 0:19OTTJoshua Brown · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:22OTTColin White · Slashingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 16:32OTTAustin Watson · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

3rd

  • 0:46OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 0:46OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 0:46WPGJansen Harkins · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 1:58WPGJosh Morrissey · Cross checkingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 10:38WPGNathan Beaulieu · Slashingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 16:00OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu5 min
  • 16:00WPGNathan Beaulieu · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 16:00WPGBlake Wheeler · Roughingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
  • 16:00WPGBlake Wheeler · High stickingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
  • 16:00WPGBlake Wheeler · Roughingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
  • 16:00OTTErik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 16:00OTTErik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 16:00OTTThomas Chabot · Roughingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 19:07OTTNikita Zaitsev · Holdingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWPG goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 2nd 4:22 — WPG 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.18C. Tierney · Goal · xG 0.15D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.09N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.08A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.07D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.07C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.06A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.06J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.06D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 1.7 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsOTT
2.84 G
All situations
1 G1.7
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG70%30%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 1.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsOTT
29
Shots on goal
29
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/7
Power play
0/3
19
Penalty minutes
27
14
Hits
51
10
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000020.04110—24:15
44J. MorrisseyD000+200.00012—23:39
24D. ForbortD011020.03200—21:24
55M. ScheifeleC112+210.250008521:00
9A. CoppC011050.391123320:51
17A. LowryC101+130.372005719:25
81K. ConnorL022+220.31000—18:36
25P. StastnyC000+150.850002518:10
88N. BeaulieuD011+110.04127—18:09
27N. EhlersL112+110.11100—17:31
26B. WheelerR101+120.25116—17:24
14V. HeinolaD000+210.01010—14:22
64L. StanleyD000+110.08020—13:49
12J. HarkinsC000000.00102012:34
23T. LewisC011+110.07110012:20
85M. PerreaultC000+100.00100011:39
22M. AppletonC000020.0510010011:23
11N. ThompsonC000000.001006703:10
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)29281.9661.74+0.7459:56

Season series

WPG leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).