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Canucks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
FinalTV SN, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-1. The Canucks scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 3:50 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — VAN 2.5, TOR 2.5; shots on goal were VAN 27, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 2.0 goals below expected; Jack Campbell stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (2 G), 2. Mitch Marner (2 A), 3. Jack Campbell (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Marner2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Campbell26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN11101204127
TORTOR16110314530

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    T. Pearson(10)
    Q. Hughes (32), B. Horvat (18)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:28
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(37)
    M. Marner (45), N. Foligno (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    15:24

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(38)
    M. Marner (46)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    3:50

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Brooks(4)
    J. Holl (17), J. Spezza (18)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:55
  2. TOR
    A. Galchenyuk(4)
    W. Nylander (22), J. Tavares (29)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    11:39
  3. TOR
    J. Thornton(5)EN
    T. Dermott (4), M. Rielly (29)
    wristxG 0.50
    1-5
    18:00

Penalties

VAN 2 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:08TORJake Muzzin · Interferencedrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min

3rd

  • 13:23VANNate Schmidt · Hookingdrawn by Jason Spezza2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalVAN goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 2nd 3:50 — TOR 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Thornton · Goal · xG 0.50W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.16A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.14A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.11W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.11J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.07W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06A. Brooks · Goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.04J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.03I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.01N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR5 G · 2.5 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsTOR
2.51 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.81 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN59%41%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsTOR
27
Shots on goal
30
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
25
6
Blocked shots
13
20
Giveaways
17
13
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD000-410.02010—22:23
43Q. HughesD011000.00200—22:21
9J. MillerC000-130.281004720:22
88N. SchmidtD000-210.08022—19:46
6B. BoeserR000-140.48210—19:24
53B. HorvatC011030.380006219:23
27T. HamonicD000+140.11200—19:04
23A. EdlerD000-200.01200—18:37
36N. HoglanderL000-130.20000—17:43
63J. ChatfieldD000-110.01010—16:29
78K. LindR000-100.01210—15:42
15M. HighmoreC000-210.34200014:39
24J. VeseyL000-110.23200—14:26
70T. PearsonL101-120.21000—13:50
71Z. MacEwenR000-120.02100—12:35
20B. SutterC000-200.082007512:29
72T. BoydC000-100.002006711:49
13J. HawrylukR000-110.01300—09:11
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)29254.8622.03-1.9757:47

Season series

TOR leads 5-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).