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Maple Leafs at Canucks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
3
Vancouver Canucks
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nils Hoglander's goal at 6:43 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 24% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.2 to 3.5; shots on goal were TOR 40, VAN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. David Rittich stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.5 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Quinn Hughes (1 G, 2 A), 2. Tanner Pearson (2 G), 3. William Nylander (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Pearson2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR11311918340
VANVAN0122849629

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(15)
    W. Nylander (19), A. Kerfoot (12)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:55

2nd period

  1. VAN
    B. Sutter(7)
    B. Boeser (19), T. Hamonic (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:33
  2. VAN
    Q. Hughes(3)
    J. Miller (21)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:08
  3. TOR
    J. Tavares(16)PPG
    W. Nylander (20), A. Matthews (22)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    17:14

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Brooks(2)SHG
    M. Marner (41), J. Holl (13)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +27 pts
    3-2
    3:10
  2. VAN
    N. Hoglander(9)
    B. Boeser (20), Q. Hughes (27)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    6:43
  3. VAN
    T. Pearson(7)PPG
    J. Miller (22), Q. Hughes (28)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +24 pts
    3-4
    9:48
  4. VAN
    T. Pearson(8)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.00win prob +11 pts
    3-5
    13:36
  5. VAN
    B. Sutter(8)EN
    N. Schmidt (9)
    wristxG 0.25
    3-6
    19:24

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

2nd

  • 15:43VANJalen Chatfield · Holdingdrawn by William Nylander2 min

3rd

  • 2:12TORPierre Engvall · Hookingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 8:52TORTJ Brodie · Cross checkingdrawn by Jayce Hawryluk2 min
  • 18:35VANTyler Myers · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalTOR goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Nils Hoglander, 3rd 6:43 — VAN 24% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.55B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.53T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.36B. Sutter · Goal · xG 0.25M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.21J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.20J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.14J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.13J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.12J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.11B. Sutter · Goal · xG 0.11T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.09J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.09J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.08M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.07N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.07B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.06T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hoglander · Goal · xG 0.04O. Juolevi · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.00O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.00A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN6 G · 4.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsVAN
3.53 G
All situations
5 G4.2
2.71 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR66%34%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsVAN
40
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
11
12
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
2
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000-220.05010—25:30
16M. MarnerR011-150.38010—23:39
34A. MatthewsC011-250.780004723:36
3J. HollD011-240.17300—22:45
8J. MuzzinD000-210.02520—22:26
88W. NylanderR022-260.55000—21:22
91J. TavaresC202-140.470104420:44
78T. BrodieD000010.03022—19:24
38R. SandinD000010.08200—16:14
15A. KerfootC011-120.14110015:59
12A. GalchenyukC000-220.19200015:15
97J. ThorntonC000-110.042206012:47
47P. EngvallL000010.042123312:31
24W. SimmondsR000010.11410—12:03
19J. SpezzaC000-100.000005010:40
89N. RobertsonL000-120.14000—09:17
77A. BrooksC101010.300004009:01
22Z. BogosianD000+110.03000—08:31
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)28235.8212.52-2.4855:20

Season series

TOR leads 5-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).