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Canucks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV SNP, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 0:51 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 5.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 16, TOR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 20 of 24 (.833); David Rittich stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (1 G, 1 A), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G), 3. William Nylander (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Marner1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN021905116
TORTOR1721116424

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(16)
    A. Galchenyuk (6), J. Tavares (28)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:29

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(36)
    M. Marner (44), J. Thornton (12)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:51
  2. TOR
    P. Engvall(4)
    R. Sandin (3), J. Spezza (17)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    2:57
  3. VAN
    J. Miller(11)PPG
    Q. Hughes (31), B. Horvat (17)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    15:36

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(18)
    A. Kerfoot (13)
    wristxG 0.33
    1-4
    19:05

Penalties

VAN 5 PIM·TOR 9 PIM

1st

  • 1:54TORWayne Simmonds · Fightingdrawn by Alexander Edler5 min
  • 1:54VANAlexander Edler · Fightingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds5 min

2nd

  • 7:33TORAlex Galchenyuk · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min
  • 13:47TORTimothy Liljegren · Hookingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalVAN goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 2nd 0:51 — TOR 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.83A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.44M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.33J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.31A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.22I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.21A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.21A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.17M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.14A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.13W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.13M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.13J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.10A. Brooks · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.09M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.08A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.08A. Brooks · On goal · xG 0.07P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.07P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.06I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.03J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01
TOR4 G · 5.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsTOR
1.91 G
All situations
4 G5.0
1.30 G
Even strength
4 G3.8
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN20%80%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 3.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsTOR
16
Shots on goal
24
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
0/0
5
Penalty minutes
9
19
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
16
17
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011-410.12200—23:47
57T. MyersD000000.04110—23:02
88N. SchmidtD000010.06040—22:56
27T. HamonicD000-220.04220—21:39
9J. MillerC101-240.720107821:29
53B. HorvatC011-200.001104220:29
70T. PearsonL000-220.12100—19:49
6B. BoeserR000-220.2700010018:42
36N. HoglanderL000-100.04100—18:08
78K. LindR000020.27110—17:12
20B. SutterC000000.000106314:00
23A. EdlerD000-120.03115—14:00
18J. VirtanenR000-100.003005013:50
63J. ChatfieldD000000.01000—12:03
15M. HighmoreC000-100.08410011:49
64T. MotteC000000.00110011:47
72T. BoydC000-100.070106710:04
71Z. MacEwenR000-100.02100—07:11
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
49B. Holtby(L)24204.8333.76-0.2458:03

Season series

TOR leads 5-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).