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Canucks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
3
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸7
FinalTV ESPN+, SNP·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Vancouver Canucks 7-3. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Spezza's goal at 8:44 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.7 to 1.3; shots on goal were VAN 19, TOR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 92% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 30 of 37 (.811), 2.3 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Spezza (3 G), 2. Auston Matthews (2 G), 3. Mitch Marner (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Spezza3 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Marner1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN161815319
TORTOR212311214737

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(7)
    J. Muzzin (4), M. Marner (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:56
  2. VAN
    T. Pearson(4)
    E. Pettersson (5), N. Hoglander (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:24
  3. TOR
    J. Spezza(2)PPG
    M. Rielly (7), W. Nylander (6)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    1-2
    10:15

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(8)
    M. Marner (11), Z. Hyman (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:04
  2. VAN
    B. Horvat(6)
    J. Miller (10), B. Boeser (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    3:26
  3. TOR
    J. Spezza(3)
    N. Petan (1), T. Boyd (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    8:44
  4. TOR
    J. Tavares(5)
    W. Nylander (7), M. Rielly (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    17:56

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Spezza(4)
    W. Nylander (8), J. Muzzin (5)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    4:34
  2. VAN
    J. Miller(3)PPG
    Q. Hughes (14)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    8:14
  3. TOR
    M. Marner(6)
    Z. Bogosian (1), T. Boyd (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    3-7
    11:37

Penalties

VAN 15 PIM·TOR 11 PIM

1st

  • 9:25VANQuinn Hughes · Trippingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 12:56VANTyler Myers · High stickingdrawn by William Nylander2 min

2nd

  • 18:39TORNic Petan · Slashingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 2:09VANAlexander Edler · Slashingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 6:37VANBrock Boeser · Hookingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 6:55TORAlexander Kerfoot · Holding the stickdrawn by Jay Beagle2 min
  • 7:53TORJohn Tavares · Interferencedrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 16:59TORWayne Simmonds · Fightingdrawn by Jordie Benn5 min
  • 16:59VANJordie Benn · Fightingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds5 min
  • 18:40VANAlexander Edler · Slashingdrawn by Jason Spezza2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalVAN goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Spezza, 2nd 8:44 — TOR 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.26Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.25W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.25A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.19W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.19J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.19J. Spezza · Goal · xG 0.18A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.18A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.16I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.16A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.15M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.14J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.14M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.13J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.13W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.12N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spezza · Goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.10N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.09I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.09M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.07N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.07W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.06J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Spezza · Goal · xG 0.04J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.01N. Petan · Missed · xG 0.01
TOR7 G · 4.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsTOR
1.33 G
All situations
7 G4.7
1.22 G
Even strength
6 G3.6
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN8%92%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.31 – 4.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsTOR
19
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
11
27
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
6
13
Giveaways
6
10
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD000+110.05112—24:46
23A. EdlerD000-210.02114—22:08
88N. SchmidtD000+100.00100—21:47
53B. HorvatC101-110.121003919:28
9J. MillerC112-130.1910010019:19
63J. ChatfieldD000-220.02110—18:48
40E. PetterssonC011-110.060106718:15
6B. BoeserR011-110.00412—17:44
64T. MotteC000-310.09610017:00
43Q. HughesD011-310.07002—16:37
83J. BeagleC000010.021103815:29
36N. HoglanderL011-100.00000—14:13
70T. PearsonL101050.4120010013:54
8J. BennD000-300.00005—13:05
18J. VirtanenR000-100.0040010012:26
20B. SutterC000-200.092101711:11
26A. RousselL000010.12200—10:01
96A. GaudetteR000-100.0600010006:13
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)37307.8114.67-2.3359:26

Season series

TOR leads 5-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).