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Jets at Canadiens
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-3. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 15:10 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 56% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were WPG 22, MTL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.7 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (2 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Armia (1 G), 3. Ben Chiarot (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Armia1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    B. Chiarot1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG182806322
MTLMTL01331329535

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    P. Stastny(13)
    D. DeMelo (6), B. Wheeler (25)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    18:25

2nd period

  1. WPG
    T. Lewis(4)
    J. Harkins (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    2:20
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(11)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.30win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    4:58
  3. WPG
    T. Lewis(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    11:47
  4. MTL
    A. Lehkonen(5)
    B. Chiarot (5), J. Evans (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    13:44
  5. MTL
    J. Armia(7)PPG
    N. Suzuki (21), T. Toffoli (12)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    18:14

3rd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(12)PPG
    J. Petry (24), C. Perry (10)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +34 pts
    3-4
    15:10
  2. MTL
    T. Toffoli(26)EN
    P. Danault (19)
    backhandxG 0.38win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    18:37

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:09WPGMason Appleton · Trippingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

2nd

  • 8:17MTLNick Suzuki · Hookingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 17:13WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

3rd

  • 12:36MTLserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:55WPGPaul Stastny · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalWPG goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Suzuki, 3rd 15:10 — MTL 56% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.38N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.30P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.23N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.22C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.19J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.17J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.17J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.16C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.16J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.14M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.11J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.10J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.10C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.09J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.08C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03J. Allen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL5 G · 3.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMTL
1.43 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.13 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG18%82%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.43 – 3.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMTL
22
Shots on goal
35
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
27
17
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000-240.07200—25:10
44J. MorrisseyD000010.01422—21:39
24D. ForbortD000-110.01220—20:42
55M. ScheifeleC000-120.130107019:55
3T. PoolmanD000000.00220—18:37
81K. ConnorL000-200.00140—18:31
9A. CoppC000-100.001307018:03
22M. AppletonC000010.08102017:29
26B. WheelerR011-240.22110—16:46
25P. StastnyC101-220.462025816:39
2D. DeMeloD011+220.09100—16:17
85M. PerreaultC000000.00400015:57
13P. DuboisC000010.090005015:29
93K. VesalainenL000010.06110—13:40
40J. BennD000+200.00010—13:05
23T. LewisC202+220.200005010:40
11N. ThompsonC000+200.002005009:33
12J. HarkinsC011+210.01300008:25
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)34304.8823.34-0.6659:07

Season series

WPG leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).