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Canadiens at Jets
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸6
FinalTV TSN2, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-3. The Jets came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nate Thompson's goal at 6:37 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 21, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Carey Price stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.1 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (2 G), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 A), 3. Joel Armia (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Armia2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL281706321
WPGWPG08311311630

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Armia(3)
    A. Romanov (4), P. Byron (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:45
  2. MTL
    J. Armia(4)
    J. Drouin (11), J. Petry (11)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    17:29

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(9)PPG
    B. Wheeler (13), M. Scheifele (17)
    slapxG 0.45win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    5:37
  2. MTL
    T. Tatar(5)PPG
    J. Kotkaniemi (7), J. Petry (12)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    7:33
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(10)
    P. Stastny (7), N. Ehlers (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    11:50
  4. WPG
    B. Wheeler(6)
    N. Pionk (13), P. Dubois (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    14:31

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Thompson(1)
    M. Appleton (6), A. Lowry (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    3-4
    6:37
  2. WPG
    P. Dubois(4)
    M. Perreault (5), A. Copp (9)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    3-5
    12:37
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(11)EN
    B. Wheeler (14), A. Copp (10)
    wristxG 0.95win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    18:22

Penalties

MTL 13 PIM·WPG 9 PIM

2nd

  • 4:55MTLShea Weber · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:15WPGNeal Pionk · High stickingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 20:00MTLJeff Petry · Chargingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

3rd

  • 4:12MTLBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 7:29WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 10:24MTLJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 14:26WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 14:26MTLCorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nate Thompson, 3rd 6:37 — WPG 53% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.95B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.46K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.44N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.17A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.17M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.14K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.13S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.11N. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.10P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.09K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.07M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.07M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.07N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01S. Niku · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG6 G · 4.3 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWPG
2.23 G
All situations
5 G4.3
2.02 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL38%62%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWPG
21
Shots on goal
30
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/2
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
9
19
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
8
13
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. ChiarotD000-210.05032—24:14
6S. WeberD000-100.00222—22:43
24P. DanaultC000+140.293004321:02
26J. PetryD022-220.05212—20:55
44J. EdmundsonD000000.03302—19:31
14N. SuzukiC000-110.250105419:09
92J. DrouinL011-220.32300—17:54
40J. ArmiaR202+220.200005016:38
73T. ToffoliC000-310.0120010016:21
11B. GallagherR000-120.11100—15:58
90T. TatarL101020.33000—15:27
27A. RomanovD011-110.07040—15:16
77B. KulakD000010.03000—13:49
15J. KotkaniemiC011-100.001001413:17
94C. PerryR000010.10105—12:57
62A. LehkonenL000-310.10010—12:24
41P. ByronL011-200.120004011:12
17J. AndersonR000000.13100—04:24
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)29245.8282.89-2.1159:06

Season series

WPG leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).