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Winnipeg Jets at Montréal Canadiens

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Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Winnipeg Jets 7-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 7:03 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals were close — WPG 2.3, MTL 2.1; shots on goal were WPG 29, MTL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.5 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brendan Gallagher (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Toffoli (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tomas Tatar (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    T. Toffoli1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    T. Tatar3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0908112129
MTLMTL11141027728

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:29

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    7:03
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    11:01
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    14:25
  4. MTL
    J. Drouin (14), N. Suzuki (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    16:05

3rd period

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.12
    0-6
    4:20
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.02
    0-7
    8:20
  3. WPG
    backhandxG 0.24
    1-7
    11:14

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:45WPGMathieu Perreault · High stickingdrawn by Shea Weber2 min

3rd

  • 10:01MTLAlexander Romanov · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 16:51MTLPhillip Danault · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalWPG goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, 2nd 7:03 — MTL 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.14J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.12P. Byron · Goal · xG 0.12J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.11J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.11J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.08J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.07J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.07J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.05P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.04J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.04J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.04T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · Goal · xG 0.02J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL7 G · 2.1 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMTL
2.31 G
All situations
7 G2.1
1.70 G
Even strength
7 G2.1
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG52%48%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMTL
29
Shots on goal
28
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
24
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-220.08230—22:46
3T. PoolmanD000-150.09000—21:30
4N. PionkD011-210.03230—21:04
55M. ScheifeleC011-220.260002320:16
24D. ForbortD000-200.00310—20:01
25P. StastnyC000-210.120008019:09
26B. WheelerR000-210.10100—17:09
2D. DeMeloD000-300.07100—16:03
9A. CoppC000-200.004003316:02
81K. ConnorL000-220.03000—16:00
88N. BeaulieuD000-410.02110—15:29
27N. EhlersL000-200.09010—14:35
17A. LowryC000-240.133104214:17
22M. AppletonC000-200.06100014:16
13P. DuboisC000-230.201105013:41
23T. LewisC000-130.37100012:54
85M. PerreaultC101-140.63112012:18
11N. ThompsonC000-100.000005010:52
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)19154.7891.45-2.5534:25
30L. Brossoit963.6670.68-2.3225:13

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).