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Montréal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets

Final/OTTV CBC, SN·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Montréal Canadiens 2-1 in overtime, Paul Stastny scoring at 0:36. The Jets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Stastny's goal at 0:36 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.4 to 3.0; shots on goal were MTL 41, WPG 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Paul Stastny (1 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (40 saves, .976).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Stastny1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck40 saves, .976

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL01411301400141
WPGWPG07190213221

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(11)PPG
    A. Copp (11)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    10:38
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    15:13

Overtime

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.56win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    0:36

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:32MTLShea Weber · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 4:21WPGSami Niku · Hookingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 5:38MTLJeff Petry · Interferencedrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
  • 9:04MTLJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 11:33WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Elbowingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Paul Stastny, OT 0:36 — WPG 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.56M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.33K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.22P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.19K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.16N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.14P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.13A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.09N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.09K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.07M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 3.4 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWPG
3.01 G
All situations
2 G3.4
2.81 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL45%55%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWPG
41
Shots on goal
21
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
15
6
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. ChiarotD011040.08310—22:54
26J. PetryD000-110.01024—21:47
14N. SuzukiC101+120.183005021:03
6S. WeberD000+140.24122—20:37
44J. EdmundsonD000020.10110—20:36
92J. DrouinL000+120.17000—19:52
73T. ToffoliC000060.35000019:19
27A. RomanovD000040.22100—17:20
40J. ArmiaR011030.1440010016:36
62A. LehkonenL000020.16200—15:39
24P. DanaultC000-120.190004715:32
15J. KotkaniemiC000020.102004114:48
77B. KulakD000+100.02000—14:42
11B. GallagherR000030.70100—13:58
90T. TatarL000010.12200—12:30
41P. ByronL000020.18300—10:16
71J. EvansC000000.002005609:51
94C. PerryR000010.02100—08:30
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(O)21192.9053.41+1.4160:36

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).