Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in overtime, Victor Hedman scoring at 0:10. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Hedman's goal at 0:10 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were CBJ 22, TBL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Barré-Boulet (1 G), 3. Ondrej Palat (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★V. Hedman1 G, 1 A

- ★★A. Barré-Boulet1 G

- ★★★O. Palat1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-111:50
1-117:16
2-119:29
2nd period
2-26:09
3rd period
3-20:55
3-32:41
Overtime
3-40:10
Penalties
1st
- 4:16
Jack Roslovic · Roughingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
2nd
- 6:37
Mikhail Grigorenko · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 9:03
Barclay Goodrow · Hookingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
3rd
- 2:02
Mikhail Grigorenko · Holdingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
- 3:28
Max Domi · Hookingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Victor Hedman, OT 0:10 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.83 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.6
- 1.73 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.2
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 3.52
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 17
- Hits
- 16
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 5
- Giveaways
- 4
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
