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Blue Jackets at Lightning
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning

Final/OTTV NBCSN, SN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-3 in overtime, Victor Hedman scoring at 0:10. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Hedman's goal at 0:10 of overtime, which took the Lightning's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were CBJ 22, TBL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Barré-Boulet (1 G), 3. Ondrej Palat (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Barré-Boulet1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    O. Palat1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ250511200322
TBLTBL181161911434

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:50
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:16
  3. CBJ
    wrap-aroundxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:29

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point (21), O. Palat (27)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    6:09

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.11win prob +25 pts
    3-2
    0:55
  2. TBL
    O. Palat (28), V. Hedman (35)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    2:41

Overtime

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:10

Penalties

CBJ 8 PIM·TBL 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:16CBJJack Roslovic · Roughingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 6:37CBJMikhail Grigorenko · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 9:03TBLBarclay Goodrow · Hookingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

3rd

  • 2:02CBJMikhail Grigorenko · Holdingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 3:28CBJMax Domi · Hookingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCBJ goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Victor Hedman, OT 0:10 — TBL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.28B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.22O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.17A. Barré-Boulet · On goal · xG 0.16T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.16B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.15M. Joseph · Goal · xG 0.14Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.14A. Barré-Boulet · Goal · xG 0.13O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.10A. Barré-Boulet · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barré-Boulet · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barré-Boulet · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barré-Boulet · Missed · xG 0.08E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.06O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.06A. Barré-Boulet · On goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.06L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · Missed · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04B. Point · Missed · xG 0.04B. Point · Missed · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barré-Boulet · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barré-Boulet · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01
TBL4 G · 3.6 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTBL
1.83 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.73 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ22%78%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 3.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTBL
22
Shots on goal
34
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000-230.09030—25:56
15M. Del ZottoD000-130.06300—23:10
44V. GavrikovD011+100.00360—20:25
28O. BjorkstrandR022+130.32100—19:13
43M. LehtonenD011+100.00100—19:11
13C. AtkinsonR000-110.07000—18:40
16M. DomiC022+110.071023518:39
50E. RobinsonL202+220.2100010017:52
42A. TexierL000-100.000103916:42
46D. KukanD000+110.03110—16:05
96J. RoslovicC000010.240028015:34
24N. GerbeC000-110.142005014:56
29P. LaineL000000.00000—14:41
25M. GrigorenkoC101+120.28104014:13
7G. BayreutherD000+120.19110—14:04
49R. MacInnisC000010.100105008:40
23S. MatteauC000-100.00000007:58
21J. DunneC000010.03310007:52
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo26233.8852.77-0.2342:41
90E. Merzlikins(O)871.8750.79-0.2117:29

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).