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Blue Jackets at Lightning
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
FinalTV BSFL+, BSOH·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 15:54 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.8, TBL 3.0; shots on goal were CBJ 38, TBL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (2 G), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (36 saves, .947), 3. Ross Colton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy36 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    R. Colton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ011115112238
TBLTBL11507212334

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(14)PPG
    S. Stamkos (16), V. Hedman (28)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    15:45

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(5)
    E. Robinson (6), M. Domi (8)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:04

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    E. Robinson(5)
    M. Domi (9), Z. Werenski (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +34 pts
    2-1
    10:54
  2. TBL
    R. Colton(3)
    P. Maroon (10), M. Joseph (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +38 pts
    2-2
    14:49
  3. TBL
    B. Point(15)
    O. Palat (20), T. Johnson (9)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +39 pts
    2-3
    15:54

Penalties

CBJ 8 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:59CBJAlexandre Texier · Holdingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 14:58CBJserved by M. Domi · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 3:35CBJNick Foligno · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 3:35TBLMathieu Joseph · Embellishmentdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 16:03TBLAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Liam Foudy2 min
  • 18:34CBJLiam Foudy · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCBJ goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 3rd 15:54 — TBL 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.41L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.20B. Point · On goal · xG 0.19B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.19B. Point · Goal · xG 0.17B. Point · Missed · xG 0.11A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.11R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.10B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.09B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.07O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.07T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.06A. Borgman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03B. Point · Goal · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03A. Borgman · On goal · xG 0.03L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.02C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL3 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTBL
2.82 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.92 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ53%47%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTBL
38
Shots on goal
34
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
27
11
Blocked shots
12
0
Giveaways
2
0
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000010.09110—27:37
8Z. WerenskiD112+120.38100—26:30
38B. JennerC000-130.411207422:01
71N. FolignoL000-130.243222020:53
13C. AtkinsonR000-140.24000—20:00
29P. LaineL000+240.202002019:48
58D. SavardD000-120.04320—18:59
44V. GavrikovD000-110.01310—18:46
42A. TexierL000-110.06302—16:23
28O. BjorkstrandR000-120.15000—15:53
16M. DomiC022+260.44000014:32
96J. RoslovicC000-100.000007113:29
43M. LehtonenD000+130.26000—12:57
46D. KukanD000020.03000—12:03
50E. RobinsonL112+230.23320—12:02
20R. NashC000000.001007509:06
19L. FoudyC000010.04012007:32
26Z. DalpeC000000.00200006:27
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)34313.9122.57-0.4357:13

Season series

TBL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).