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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV BSOH, BSSUN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 6-4. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Coleman's goal at 0:58 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 46% to 58%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were TBL 30, CBJ 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.5 goals below expected; Elvis Merzlikins stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Yanni Gourde (4 A), 2. Blake Coleman (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jack Roslovic (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    Y. Gourde4 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Coleman1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Roslovic1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL41221107630
CBJCBJ1181929436

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:58
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(17)PPG
    V. Hedman (30), O. Palat (22)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    2-0
    4:41
  3. TBL
    wristxG 0.30win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    5:41
  4. CBJ
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    17:21
  5. TBL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    19:59

2nd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +6 pts
    5-1
    4:54
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    17:08
  3. TBL
    slapxG 0.03win prob +3 pts
    6-2
    18:56

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.09
    6-3
    10:41
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.06
    6-4
    19:14

Penalties

TBL 19 PIM·CBJ 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:29CBJNick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 9:03TBLOndrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min

2nd

  • 18:56CBJserved by J. Roslovic · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 3:48CBJAlexandre Texier · Slashingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 7:29TBLCal Foote · Instigatordrawn by Stefan Matteau2 min
  • 7:29TBLCal Foote · Fightingdrawn by Stefan Matteau5 min
  • 7:29TBLCal Foote · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 7:29CBJStefan Matteau · Fightingdrawn by Cal Foote5 min
  • 7:43CBJJack Roslovic · High stickingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Blake Coleman, 1st 0:58 — TBL 46% → 58%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.21N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.18A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.12P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.11J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.11P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.09N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.09M. Del Zotto · Goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.06Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.05M. Lehtonen · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.05E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.05L. Foudy · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04M. Grigorenko · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lehtonen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grigorenko · Missed · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ4 G · 2.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
3.16 G
All situations
4 G2.5
2.95 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL60%40%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
30
Shots on goal
36
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
0/2
19
Penalty minutes
13
15
Hits
23
6
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011-130.14000—23:39
27R. McDonaghD202+160.41000—22:28
81E. CernakD000-100.00200—22:10
98M. SergachevD000+130.07110—21:54
37Y. GourdeC044+330.490007018:37
56B. ThomasD000+100.00200—18:28
21B. PointC000010.141005018:12
17A. KillornL000-200.00100—15:59
18O. PalatL011020.21112—15:57
19B. GoodrowC123+320.490003315:37
14P. MaroonL011010.14220—15:24
71A. CirelliC000-200.041003614:54
20B. ColemanL123+320.35110—14:47
9T. JohnsonC011000.0000010013:39
7M. JosephR000-110.21200—12:49
91S. StamkosC101-110.110107511:57
79R. ColtonC101030.290002511:41
52C. FooteD000+120.031017—07:48
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)36324.8892.46-1.5460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).