Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Roslovic's goal at 2:03 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were TBL 38, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.5 goals below expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joonas Korpisalo (36 saves, .947), 2. Max Domi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jack Roslovic (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Korpisalo36 saves, .947

- ★★M. Domi1 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. Roslovic1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-114:57
2nd period
0-22:03
3rd period
0-36:08
0-413:30
1-414:37
2-419:41
Penalties
1st
- 11:49
Joonas Korpisalo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 16:00
Alex Killorn · Interferencedrawn by Vladislav Gavrikov2 min
2nd
- 10:26
Ondrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
- 12:20
served by M. Domi · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 2:28
Barclay Goodrow · Holdingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
- 5:49
Mikhail Sergachev · Slashingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
- 7:49
Boone Jenner · Holding the stickdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min
- 10:17
Tyler Johnson · Hookingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min
- 15:06
Seth Jones · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jack Roslovic, 2nd 2:03 — 69% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.22 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.1
- 2.12 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.1
- 0.80 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 1.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 38
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 1/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 19
- Hits
- 24
- 5
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 3
- Giveaways
- 7
- 6
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
TBL leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
