Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Johansen's goal at 6:33 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were NSH 28, CHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Malcolm Subban stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (29 saves, .967), 2. Malcolm Subban (25 saves, .893), 3. Luke Kunin (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
1-06:33
2-016:24
3rd period
3-016:05
3-116:41
Penalties
1st
- 6:33
Colton Sissons · High stickingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
2nd
- 11:57
Kirby Dach · High stickingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
3rd
- 12:30
Brandon Hagel · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ryan Johansen, 2nd 6:33 — 47% → 65%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.73 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.1
- 1.53 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.7
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.68 – 2.12
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 43
- Hits
- 36
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 8
- Giveaways
- 11
- 11
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
NSH leads 7-1
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
