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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
4
Chicago Blackhawks
▸5
Final/OTTV NBCSN, TVAS·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Nashville Predators 5-4 in overtime, Brandon Hagel scoring at 3:00. The Blackhawks came back from three goals down. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Hagel's goal at 3:00 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were NSH 40, CHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.2 goals below expected; Malcolm Subban stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Hagel (1 G, 2 A), 2. Malcolm Subban (36 saves, .900), 3. Mikael Granlund (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    B. Hagel1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    M. Subban36 saves, .900
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Granlund1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH1162141901440
CHICHI1110103712530

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    P. Suter(13)
    B. Hagel (11)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:14
  2. NSH
    E. Tolvanen(11)
    V. Arvidsson (15), R. Johansen (13)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:16

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Sissons(8)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    13:39
  2. NSH
    M. Granlund(12)
    M. Ekholm (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    19:58

3rd period

  1. NSH
    L. Kunin(6)
    M. Granlund (10), R. Josi (23)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    0:58
  2. CHI
    W. Kalynuk(3)
    P. Kane (43), B. Hagel (12)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +4 pts
    4-2
    10:04
  3. CHI
    V. Hinostroza(1)
    K. Dach (5), N. Zadorov (7)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    4-3
    11:13
  4. CHI
    D. Kubalik(15)
    P. Suter (10)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +35 pts
    4-4
    12:55

Overtime

  1. CHI
    B. Hagel(7)
    V. Hinostroza (6), K. Dach (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    3:00

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:29NSHRyan Ellis · Holdingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min

2nd

  • 0:37NSHErik Gudbranson · Cross checkingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 7:12CHIRyan Carpenter · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min

3rd

  • 1:52CHIAdam Boqvist · Cross checkingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min
  • 13:09NSHViktor Arvidsson · High sticking double minordrawn by Alex DeBrincat4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Hagel, OT 3:00 — CHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.32V. Hinostroza · Goal · xG 0.20C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.19D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.19K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.15W. Kalynuk · Goal · xG 0.15K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.14K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.12R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.11B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.10D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.08W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.08D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.07D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.07D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03W. Kalynuk · Missed · xG 0.03W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.01R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI5 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
3.24 G
All situations
5 G2.8
3.24 G
Even strength
5 G2.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH56%44%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.19 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
40
Shots on goal
30
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
36
Hits
29
22
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
11
11
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. EllisD000010.02132—22:36
14M. EkholmD011-140.09000—22:23
59R. JosiD011-140.24050—22:07
64M. GranlundC112030.272005920:43
19C. JarnkrokC000+110.17210020:30
56E. HaulaL000-230.342407019:10
44E. GudbransonD000010.12612—19:03
17B. HarpurD000+110.01310—17:31
5M. BenningD000000.00210—16:48
92R. JohansenC011020.151004715:45
33V. ArvidssonL011+140.28224—15:32
95M. DucheneC000-220.1801010015:04
28E. TolvanenR101030.32310—15:00
10C. SissonsC101010.272005714:31
11L. KuninC101+140.33400012:44
21N. CousinsC000-130.14010012:18
13Y. TreninC000010.16210009:56
84T. JeannotL000020.15400—09:19
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(O)30255.8332.83-2.1763:00

Season series

NSH leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).