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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸3
Chicago Blackhawks
2
FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roman Josi's goal at 13:27 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 48% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were NSH 31, CHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Malcolm Subban stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (1 G), 2. Alex DeBrincat (2 G), 3. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    A. DeBrincat2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH28012111331
CHICHI08011210229

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:43
  2. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(10)
    M. Ekholm (10), L. Kunin (6)
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    18:30

3rd period

  1. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(17)
    P. Kane (35), P. Suter (6)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    7:35
  2. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(18)
    P. Suter (7)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    9:25
  3. NSH
    R. Josi(3)
    E. Tolvanen (8), V. Arvidsson (12)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +37 pts
    3-2
    13:27

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:35NSHYakov Trenin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:35CHIRyan Carpenter · Boardingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 14:36NSHYakov Trenin · High stickingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

2nd

  • 6:12CHINikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 13:15NSHRyan Johansen · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min

3rd

  • 4:03NSHViktor Arvidsson · Holdingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Roman Josi, 3rd 13:27 — NSH 48% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.26A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.14A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.09P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.08P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.04K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.04C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.03P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.02N. Beaudin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaudin · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 1.8 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
2.63 G
All situations
2 G1.8
2.43 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH64%36%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
31
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
39
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57D. FabbroD000-110.02300—23:19
45A. CarrierD000+230.06410—22:19
59R. JosiD101040.32140—20:42
14M. EkholmD011+210.01010—20:26
64M. GranlundC000010.130303618:07
19C. JarnkrokC101040.541002516:44
33V. ArvidssonL112+150.40102—16:17
10C. SissonsC000000.006005816:13
17B. HarpurD000-100.03320—15:56
92R. JohansenC000+100.001026315:55
5M. BenningD000010.01300—15:14
13Y. TreninC000020.13414014:46
28E. TolvanenR011+110.19400—14:25
56E. HaulaL000010.082002013:48
25M. OlivierR000020.17200—13:39
11L. KuninC011030.39200011:51
21N. CousinsC000020.10210011:34
23R. GrimaldiR000000.00000—10:21
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)29272.9311.83-0.1760:00

Season series

NSH leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).