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Predators at Blackhawks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV FS-TN, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Granlund's goal at 0:51 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 72% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were NSH 34, CHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Luke Kunin (2 A), 2. Juuse Saros (29 saves, .967), 3. Ryan Johansen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    L. Kunin2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Johansen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH11511514334
CHICHI06111013130

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:10

2nd period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    12:58
  2. CHI
    P. Kane (34), A. Boqvist (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    17:33

3rd period

  1. NSH
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    0:51

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·CHI 0 PIM

1st

  • 12:16NSHEeli Tolvanen · Hookingdrawn by David Kampf2 min

2nd

  • 0:49NSHYakov Trenin · Holdingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNSH goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Mikael Granlund, 3rd 0:51 — NSH 72% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.20C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.18P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.17P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.17K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.16P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.15P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.14C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.10M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.09K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.09K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.09P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.08R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.08B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.06D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.05M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.05M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.01A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.00C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCHI
3.03 G
All situations
1 G2.7
2.53 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH48%52%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCHI
34
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
27
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
14
2
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57D. FabbroD000000.00130—24:21
59R. JosiD000000.03030—22:20
14M. EkholmD000+220.07110—22:03
45A. CarrierD000+110.01500—22:00
19C. JarnkrokC000+140.290002517:14
56E. HaulaL000+140.692204317:01
64M. GranlundC101+110.153007516:23
17B. HarpurD000+110.01010—15:37
92R. JohansenC101030.682204015:25
33V. ArvidssonL011+110.06000—15:08
10C. SissonsC000050.410105014:54
13Y. TreninC000040.10212014:21
25M. OlivierR000000.00420—13:38
28E. TolvanenR011+130.11102—13:33
11L. KuninC022+230.23500013:14
38J. DaviesD000000.00100—13:11
21N. CousinsC000-100.00010012:35
23R. GrimaldiR101020.18000—12:34
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)30291.9672.74+1.7460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).