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Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSG+, NBCSP·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-4. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yegor Sharangovich's goal at 12:36 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were PHI 30, NJD 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.6 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Zacha (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jack Hughes (2 A), 3. Ty Smith (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    P. Zacha1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Smith2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI03115312430
NJDNJD192939627

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes (15), P. Zacha (16)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    18:45

2nd period

  1. NJD
    P. Zacha(12)PPG
    J. Hughes (16), T. Smith (20)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    2:20
  2. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    5:14
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.20win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    5:29

3rd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    2:24
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +25 pts
    3-3
    3:34
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.01win prob +29 pts
    3-4
    8:04
  4. PHI
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +33 pts
    4-4
    12:25
  5. NJD
    snapxG 0.13win prob +34 pts
    4-5
    12:36
  6. NJD
    wristxG 0.96win prob +5 pts
    4-6
    19:58

Penalties

PHI 9 PIM·NJD 9 PIM

1st

  • 5:11NJDMichael McLeod · High sticking double minordrawn by Sean Couturier4 min
  • 17:45PHINolan Patrick · Holdingdrawn by Connor Carrick2 min

2nd

  • 0:37PHITravis Sanheim · Roughingdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 0:37PHITravis Sanheim · Fightingdrawn by Michael McLeod5 min
  • 0:37NJDMichael McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Travis Sanheim5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPHI goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Yegor Sharangovich, 3rd 12:36 — NJD 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Maltsev · Goal · xG 0.96N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.32Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.23J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.21J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.16P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.15N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.13Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.13J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.12P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.11P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.08M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.08N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.08N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.07N. Foote · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.04M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.04R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.04T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01C. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01N. Foote · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD6 G · 3.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNJD
2.94 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.64 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI57%43%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNJD
30
Shots on goal
27
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
2/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
15
Hits
21
8
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-220.22010—23:34
6T. SanheimD101030.06007—21:52
14S. CouturierC011+210.233105320:55
28C. GirouxR101+250.540005520:03
93J. VoracekR011+230.23000—19:48
54E. ZamulaD000+130.06010—19:19
5P. MyersD101+210.19200—18:24
61J. BraunD000-210.02200—17:49
25J. van RiemsdykL000-120.280005017:03
8R. HaggD011+100.00210—16:05
86J. FarabeeL000-120.070105015:06
13K. HayesR000-100.020106314:44
11T. KonecnyR000-110.22000—14:22
21S. LaughtonC000+110.052105614:03
57W. AllisonR000010.02210—13:12
23O. LindblomL101010.20000—11:57
19N. PatrickC011-220.282026011:14
59J. CatesC011-210.260006710:21
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(L)26215.8082.42-2.5857:26

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).