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Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New Jersey Devils 3-1. The Devils scored first; the Flyers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Raffl's goal at 2:10 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 17, NJD 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (33 saves, .971), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G), 3. Erik Gustafsson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    E. Gustafsson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI140429317
NJDNJD114010010134

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:11
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:23

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.14win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    2:10
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    6:26

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:22PHITravis Sanheim · Interferencedrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min

2nd

  • 3:40PHINolan Patrick · Slashingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 10:28NJDPavel Zacha · Holdingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 13:44PHIserved by N. Aube-Kubel · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 8:07PHIJoel Farabee · Interferencedrawn by Travis Zajac2 min
  • 9:02NJDP.K. Subban · Hookingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPHI goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Michael Raffl, 3rd 2:10 — PHI 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.28R. Murray · Missed · xG 0.16K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.15N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.15K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.13A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.12N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.11P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.07M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.07A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tennyson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tennyson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tennyson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · Goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tennyson · Missed · xG 0.01
NJD1 G · 2.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNJD
2.03 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI38%62%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNJD
17
Shots on goal
34
74%
Faceoffs
26%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
14
16
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+110.03140—27:38
6T. SanheimD000010.11212—23:16
61J. BraunD000010.03230—20:21
28C. GirouxR101+110.170007220:11
53S. GostisbehereD000+120.17020—20:09
11T. KonecnyR000000.09100—17:33
19N. PatrickC000+100.000028916:26
13K. HayesR000010.080105716:24
21S. LaughtonC000000.002005614:54
12M. RafflL101+110.20100—14:53
23O. LindblomL000000.00000—13:59
93J. VoracekR011+130.38000—13:50
39N. ProsserD101+110.22130—13:12
82C. BunnamanC011+110.143009013:11
56E. GustafssonD022+110.03000—13:08
86J. FarabeeL000020.12112—12:07
25J. van RiemsdykL011000.00000—11:52
62N. Aube-KubelR011+110.22010—10:18
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)34331.9712.60+1.6060:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).