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Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSG+, NBCSP·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New Jersey Devils 5-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nolan Patrick's goal at 7:03 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were PHI 31, NJD 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.6 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 26 of 30 (.867). Three stars: 1. James van Riemsdyk (2 G), 2. Ivan Provorov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Claude Giroux (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    I. Provorov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1911339531
NJDNJD092918326

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    15:03

2nd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    0:59
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    11:59
  3. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    16:43

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +29 pts
    3-2
    7:03
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    12:36
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    18:24
  4. NJD
    snapxG 0.14
    5-3
    18:52

Penalties

PHI 2 PIM·NJD 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:48PHIClaude Giroux · Hookingdrawn by Janne Kuokkanen2 min
  • 13:30NJDAndreas Johnsson · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 0:20NJDKyle Palmieri · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Brian Elliott2 min
  • 5:11NJDP.K. Subban · Interferencedrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 9:32NJDP.K. Subban · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

3rd

  • 12:59NJDDamon Severson · Cross checkingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPHI goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Nolan Patrick, 3rd 7:03 — PHI 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.20M. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.19P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.18P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.14P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.14D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.12Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.12T. Zajac · Goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.11A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.10A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.06P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kuokkanen · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD3 G · 2.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNJD
4.24 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
1.32 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI69%31%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.55 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNJD
31
Shots on goal
26
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/5
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
10
10
Hits
10
11
Blocked shots
4
6
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD123+220.18020—27:43
53S. GostisbehereD000+230.17120—21:57
28C. GirouxR033+230.320025620:46
6T. SanheimD000020.23010—19:37
13K. HayesR000020.960003319:01
93J. VoracekR011040.3101010017:23
25J. van RiemsdykL202-170.78000—16:58
8R. HaggD000-100.01120—16:53
11T. KonecnyR011+210.270005016:44
23O. LindblomL011-100.07010—15:57
61J. BraunD000-200.00100—15:57
21S. LaughtonC011-120.163106414:59
19N. PatrickC101+110.100004714:41
86J. FarabeeL101-120.3800010013:05
3M. FriedmanD000-100.00100—12:44
12M. RafflL000010.03100—12:01
82C. BunnamanC000010.171006011:05
62N. Aube-KubelR000-100.00110—10:03
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)26233.8852.39-0.6160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).