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New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, MSG·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Flyers came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James van Riemsdyk's goal at 12:25 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 57% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 25, PHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.3 goals below expected; Brian Elliott stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Joel Farabee (2 G), 2. Claude Giroux (2 A), 3. James van Riemsdyk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. Farabee2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD2110806225
PHIPHI110110211431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:29
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:21
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    13:44

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:06

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +29 pts
    2-3
    12:25
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    16:08

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:57NJDPavel Zacha · Hookingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

2nd

  • 5:19NJDserved by J. Boqvist · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:47NJDDamon Severson · Cross checkingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min

3rd

  • 3:43PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Hookingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 8:15PHIScott Laughton · Slashingdrawn by Janne Kuokkanen2 min
  • 11:13NJDMichael McLeod · Slashingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNJD goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: James van Riemsdyk, 3rd 12:25 — PHI 57% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.34J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.24J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.16J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.16O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.13J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.12J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.09S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.08S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.07J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.05N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.05S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.05N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.05O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.04N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.03W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.01W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 2.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsPHI
2.32 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD44%56%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsPHI
25
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
19
20
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000030.15042—22:50
22R. MurrayD000-100.00040—21:32
8W. ButcherD011020.04000—20:20
71J. SiegenthalerD000-110.04120—19:39
13N. HischierC011+110.380305219:19
7M. TennysonD000000.02020—17:34
17Y. SharangovichC011-110.11000016:59
86J. HughesC000-100.000002916:42
63J. BrattL011+150.38000—16:04
88K. BahlD000010.01100—15:27
37P. ZachaC101+120.51002015:21
20M. McLeodC000-100.070026415:16
59J. KuokkanenC101-120.08000014:56
14N. BastianR000010.19430—14:05
44M. WoodL000020.09000—13:42
11A. JohnssonL000-120.08210—13:05
90J. BoqvistC000020.180102012:40
25N. FooteL000-100.00100—09:01
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(L)31274.8712.69-1.3158:16

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).