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Panthers at Stars
NHL

Florida Panthers at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸3
Dallas Stars
2
Final/OTTV ESPN+, BSSW+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Dallas Stars 3-2 in overtime, Frank Vatrano scoring at 3:09. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Vatrano's goal at 3:09 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were FLA 31, DAL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Frank Vatrano (1 G), 2. Chris Driedger (24 saves, .923), 3. Jamie Benn (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    F. Vatrano1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Driedger24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Benn2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA1101501214331
DALDAL160711201226

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(18)
    M. Nutivaara (4), J. Huberdeau (29)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:50
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(12)
    J. Benn (14), J. Klingberg (21)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:42

2nd period

  1. FLA
    R. Gudas(1)
    K. Yandle (19), A. Duclair (13)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:45

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(16)
    J. Robertson (17), J. Benn (15)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +30 pts
    2-2
    8:26

Overtime

  1. FLA
    F. Vatrano(14)PPG
    G. Forsling (7), M. Weegar (22)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    3:09

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:17DALAndrew Cogliano · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 9:50DALJoe Pavelski · Trippingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 10:24FLAFrank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min

2nd

  • 6:05FLAMason Marchment · Roughingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
  • 6:05DALJamie Oleksiak · Roughingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 17:12FLAAnton Stralman · Trippingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

3rd

  • 3:53FLAPatric Hornqvist · Trippingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 4:56DALJoe Pavelski · Trippingdrawn by Juho Lammikko2 min

OT

  • 1:15DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalFLA goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Frank Vatrano, OT 3:09 — FLA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.22A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.19J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.17M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.17J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.16J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.15J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.15R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.13J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.10S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.10T. Kero · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.08J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.07B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.06R. Gardner · Missed · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.06R. Gardner · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gardner · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.01
DAL2 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsDAL
2.43 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA40%60%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsDAL
31
Shots on goal
26
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD011-110.08250—25:17
16A. BarkovC101+220.270005024:51
42G. ForslingD011020.15000—23:45
11J. HuberdeauL011+230.43000—23:19
21A. WennbergC000-220.131205220:09
65M. NutivaaraD011010.19010—19:17
3K. YandleD011+150.20000—19:09
70P. HornqvistR000020.26012—19:06
77F. VatranoR101-140.16202—18:41
91A. DuclairL011+120.12200—18:28
6A. StralmanD000010.07002—18:01
7R. GudasD101020.02020—15:41
83J. LammikkoC000010.170101513:46
19M. MarchmentL000010.03102—11:43
55N. AcciariC000-100.004104411:09
74O. TippettR000010.04100—10:14
94R. LombergL000-110.07110—08:01
27E. LuostarinenC000-100.00000002:34
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(W)26242.9232.97+0.9763:09

Season series

FLA leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).