Florida Panthers at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Dallas Stars 4-3 in overtime, Aaron Ekblad scoring at 4:50. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aaron Ekblad's goal at 4:50 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were FLA 28, DAL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Anton Khudobin stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (3 G, 1 A), 2. Noel Acciari (2 A), 3. Joel Hanley (2 A).
Three stars
- ★C. Verhaeghe3 G, 1 A

- ★★N. Acciari2 A

- ★★★J. Hanley2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-00:24
1-18:01
1-29:57
2-217:00
2nd period
3-217:40
3rd period
3-33:00
Overtime
4-34:50
Penalties
1st
- 15:18
Andrew Cogliano · Trippingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
- 17:12
Denis Gurianov · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
2nd
- 1:20
Radek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Riley Stillman2 min
- 9:16
Gustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
- 16:43
Brett Connolly · High stickingdrawn by Joel Hanley2 min
3rd
- 8:58
Riley Stillman · Hookingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Aaron Ekblad, OT 4:50 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.84 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.1
- 2.22 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.4
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 3.07
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 12
- Hits
- 20
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 5
- Giveaways
- 13
- 2
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
FLA leads 6-2
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
