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Dallas Stars at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, FS-SW·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Florida Panthers 3-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Esa Lindell's goal at 2:17 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were DAL 26, FLA 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 43 of 43 (1.000), 3.3 goals saved above expected; Chris Driedger stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Anton Khudobin (43 saves, 1.000), 2. John Klingberg (1 G), 3. Aleksander Barkov.

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin43 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1901126326
FLAFLA017014012043

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:53

3rd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:17
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.87win prob +2 pts
    3-0
    16:26

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·FLA 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:55FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 14:13DALJamie Benn · Interferencedrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 15:44FLAAlexander Wennberg · Trippingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 18:45DALJamie Oleksiak · Roughingdrawn by Brett Connolly2 min
  • 18:45DALJason Dickinson · Roughingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 18:45FLARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

3rd

  • 0:15FLAAleksander Barkov · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 9:54FLARadko Gudas · Interferencedrawn by Rhett Gardner2 min
  • 14:21DALJoel Kiviranta · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalDAL goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Esa Lindell, 3rd 2:17 — DAL 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.34C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.19F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.18A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.17A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.16C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.12A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.11C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.08A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.07J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lammikko · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA0 G · 3.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsFLA
2.42 G
All situations
0 G3.3
1.02 G
Even strength
0 G2.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL21%79%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsFLA
26
Shots on goal
43
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
38
Hits
42
15
Blocked shots
8
3
Giveaways
3
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD101+250.44320—23:30
4M. HeiskanenD000+110.04010—22:48
3J. KlingbergD101+130.10110—20:10
16J. PavelskiC022+210.013105519:05
5A. SekeraD000+100.00130—19:05
2J. OleksiakD000010.01402—18:45
12R. FaksaC011+110.165006718:43
14J. BennL000030.121024017:56
18J. DickinsonC011+110.045126017:00
15B. ComeauL000030.162005716:55
34D. GurianovR000000.01000—16:27
11A. CoglianoC000+220.14310015:29
37J. DowlingC011+110.010102514:46
25J. KivirantaL101+320.90322—13:46
13M. PysykD000010.00300—12:30
17N. CaamanoR000000.00200—10:00
21J. RobertsonL000+110.23110—08:36
49R. GardnerC000000.001101308:31
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)434301.0003.30+3.3059:58

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).