Skip to content

Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV ESPN+, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-1. The Canucks scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 5:17 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were VAN 25, CGY 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.8 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (2 A), 3. Elias Lindholm (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1901402125
CGYCGY2901029428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:02
  2. CGY
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:36
  3. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    5:17

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    15:33
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    16:37

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

2nd

  • 14:11VANJimmy Vesey · Hookingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 19:41VANJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min

3rd

  • 6:41CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Slashingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 15:59VANJimmy Vesey · Elbowingdrawn by Michael Stone2 min
  • 15:59VANJimmy Vesey · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 1st 5:17 — CGY 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.13R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.11O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.09M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.07D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.06D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.06D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.05C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.03O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.02N. Nesterov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.01O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.01N. Nesterov · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 2.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
1.71 G
All situations
4 G2.2
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN41%59%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
25
Shots on goal
28
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
11
Hits
7
12
Blocked shots
8
8
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD000-240.14100—23:37
27T. HamonicD011+120.05110—23:09
43Q. HughesD000+110.04010—20:34
23A. EdlerD000-120.09310—20:15
9J. MillerC000-120.100024719:55
53B. HorvatC000-110.261208019:19
88N. SchmidtD000-210.00010—17:45
6B. BoeserR011-120.14010—17:37
70T. PearsonL000-130.14010—17:34
15M. HighmoreC101-120.1020010017:27
48O. JuoleviD000-110.02130—14:40
36N. HoglanderL000-120.11000—14:15
24J. VeseyL000000.00106—14:00
72T. BoydC000010.090004312:33
71Z. MacEwenR000010.32100—11:34
13J. HawrylukR000000.00010—10:27
44T. GraovacC000000.000005609:35
56M. MichaelisL000000.1400010009:01
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)28244.8572.18-1.8259:49

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).