Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-1. The Canucks scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 5:17 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were VAN 25, CGY 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.8 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (2 A), 3. Elias Lindholm (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Gaudreau2 A

- ★★★E. Lindholm1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-01:02
1-13:36
1-25:17
3rd period
1-315:33
1-416:37
Penalties
2nd
- 14:11
Jimmy Vesey · Hookingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
- 19:41
J.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
3rd
- 6:41
Johnny Gaudreau · Slashingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
- 15:59
Jimmy Vesey · Elbowingdrawn by Michael Stone2 min
- 15:59
Jimmy Vesey · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 1st 5:17 — 54% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.71 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.2
- 1.51 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 2.18
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 11
- Hits
- 7
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 8
- Giveaways
- 14
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
CGY leads 7-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
