Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vancouver Canucks beat the Calgary Flames 5-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 18:28 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were VAN 33, CGY 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Boeser (1 G, 2 A), 3. Braden Holtby (35 saves, .972).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-01:46
2nd period
2-07:37
2-118:13
3-118:28
4-119:05
3rd period
5-15:54
Penalties
1st
- 4:17
served by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 11:29
Jake Virtanen · Slashingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
3rd
- 12:07
J.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: J.T. Miller, 2nd 18:28 — 70% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.65 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.0
- 2.35 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.3
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.94
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 65%
- Faceoffs
- 35%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 14
- Hits
- 20
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 12
- Giveaways
- 11
- 9
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
CGY leads 7-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
