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Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NHLN, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dillon Dube's goal at 16:12 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 32, CGY 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Jacob Markstrom stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Andrew Mangiapane (1 A), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN011010011032
CGYCGY17115113335

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    8:31

2nd period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:12

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    15:16

Penalties

VAN 12 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:16VANTanner Pearson · High stickingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
  • 14:43CGYSam Bennett · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 15:22CGYMikael Backlund · High stickingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

2nd

  • 2:49VANNils Hoglander · Interferencedrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 4:33VANTyler Motte · Hookingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 7:24CGYNoah Hanifin · Holdingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 13:02CGYSam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 14:20VANTyler Motte · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

3rd

  • 9:08VANAlexander Edler · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 14:15VANBrock Boeser · Slashingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Dillon Dube, 2nd 16:12 — CGY 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.21S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.16M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.14J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.13D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.12A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.10S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.09M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.08D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.07D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.06D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.05N. Nesterov · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.04J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Nesterov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.02N. Nesterov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.9 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
1.90 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.00 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.90 G
Power play
3 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN33%67%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
32
Shots on goal
35
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/4
Power play
3/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
16
11
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000040.19010—26:13
27T. HamonicD000020.02020—22:05
53B. HorvatC000010.010107121:02
88N. SchmidtD000000.02010—20:32
6B. BoeserR000040.29002—20:17
57T. MyersD000020.18000—20:01
40E. PetterssonC000040.421003819:02
36N. HoglanderL000020.33112—17:52
64T. MotteC000030.04224016:50
23A. EdlerD000020.06112—14:44
70T. PearsonL000010.16102—14:05
20B. SutterC000010.010006013:58
83J. BeagleC000000.003006413:19
26A. RousselL000000.00010—13:13
18J. VirtanenR000030.12100—11:58
48O. JuoleviD000000.00110—10:53
96A. GaudetteR000010.010005008:45
71Z. MacEwenR000020.07000—06:50
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
49B. Holtby(L)35323.9142.90-0.1059:46

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).