Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dillon Dube's goal at 16:12 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were VAN 32, CGY 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Jacob Markstrom stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Andrew Mangiapane (1 A), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Markstrom32 saves, 1.000

- ★★A. Mangiapane1 A

- ★★★M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-18:31
2nd period
0-216:12
3rd period
0-315:16
Penalties
1st
- 8:16
Tanner Pearson · High stickingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
- 14:43
Sam Bennett · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
- 15:22
Mikael Backlund · High stickingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
2nd
- 2:49
Nils Hoglander · Interferencedrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
- 4:33
Tyler Motte · Hookingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
- 7:24
Noah Hanifin · Holdingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
- 13:02
Sam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
- 14:20
Tyler Motte · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
3rd
- 9:08
Alexander Edler · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
- 14:15
Brock Boeser · Slashingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dillon Dube, 2nd 16:12 — 74% → 89%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.90 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 1.00 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.6
- 0.90 G
- Power play
- 3 G1.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 2.87
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 3/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 11
- Hits
- 16
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 9
- Giveaways
- 7
- 7
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
CGY leads 7-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
