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Canucks at Flames
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
2
Calgary Flames
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dillon Dube's goal at 12:16 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were VAN 21, CGY 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 1.8 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G), 2. Derek Ryan (3 A), 3. Dillon Dube (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Ryan3 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Dube1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0521006221
CGYCGY3921019628

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(15)
    J. Gaudreau (29), J. Välimäki (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:41
  2. CGY
    D. Dube(11)
    D. Ryan (9), B. Ritchie (3)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:16
  3. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(18)
    M. Backlund (23), J. Nordstrom (6)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    16:18

2nd period

  1. CGY
    B. Ritchie(4)
    D. Ryan (10), D. Dube (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    5:14
  2. VAN
    B. Horvat(19)PPG
    B. Boeser (25), J. Rathbone (2)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    8:34
  3. VAN
    J. Miller(15)
    B. Boeser (26), T. Myers (15)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    9:32
  4. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(16)
    J. Gaudreau (30), C. Tanev (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    2-5
    10:29

3rd period

  1. CGY
    C. Mackey(1)
    B. Ritchie (4), D. Ryan (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    2-6
    3:29

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·CGY 14 PIM

1st

  • 4:36CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 13:11CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
  • 13:11VANJalen Chatfield · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 8:01CGYMark Giordano · Slashingdrawn by William Lockwood2 min
  • 14:26CGYJuuso Välimäki · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Graovac2 min

3rd

  • 4:42CGYMilan Lucic · Hookingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 6:27VANBo Horvat · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 11:09CGYMichael Stone · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 18:14VANJalen Chatfield · Interferencedrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 19:35CGYAdam Ruzicka · Trippingdrawn by Jack Rathbone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Dillon Dube, 1st 12:16 — CGY 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.41D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.28E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.20A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.19D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.19M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.17M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.17D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.16C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.16M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.14M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.14M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.13M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11B. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.10C. Mackey · Goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09M. Phillips · Missed · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09M. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.08M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07M. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.03B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Mackey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01C. Mackey · Missed · xG 0.01C. Mackey · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01
CGY6 G · 4.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
2.22 G
All situations
6 G4.2
1.81 G
Even strength
6 G3.7
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN20%80%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 4.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
21
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/5
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
14
9
Hits
6
8
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
14
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD011-110.01010—23:18
43Q. HughesD000-200.02110—22:53
53B. HorvatC101030.470025621:58
3J. RathboneD011020.16010—21:17
9J. MillerC101-220.190004321:14
88N. SchmidtD000-320.11000—19:52
6B. BoeserR022-120.280003319:32
27T. HamonicD000-110.02110—18:04
36N. HoglanderL000-110.19000—16:56
15M. HighmoreC000000.15010016:12
58W. LockwoodR000-210.01300—15:39
72T. BoydC000-100.000004215:38
63J. ChatfieldD000-330.07104—14:42
24J. VeseyL000-210.29020—13:05
44T. GraovacC000-210.110004310:46
78K. LindR000010.09000—10:37
13J. HawrylukR000-200.00200—06:57
56M. MichaelisL000-200.00110—06:19
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
49B. Holtby(L)28226.7864.23-1.7759:15

Season series

CGY leads 7-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).