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Coyotes at Ducks
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸3
Anaheim Ducks
2
Final/OTTV BSAZ, BSSD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Jakob Chychrun scoring at 1:47. The Ducks scored first; the Coyotes answered. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Chychrun's goal at 1:47 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were ARI 31, ANA 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 18 of 20 (.900); John Gibson stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Chychrun (3 G), 2. Trevor Zegras (2 A), 3. Jamie Drysdale.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun3 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Zegras2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Drysdale

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI170151811331
ANAANA28060600220

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    S. Carrick(1)
    T. Zegras (5)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:31
  2. ARI
    J. Chychrun(10)
    J. Hayden (2), A. Goligoski (7)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:58
  3. ANA
    D. Grant(4)
    T. Zegras (6), M. Jones (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:47

3rd period

  1. ARI
    J. Chychrun(11)
    N. Schmaltz (15), C. Garland (18)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +38 pts
    2-2
    15:09

Overtime

  1. ARI
    J. Chychrun(12)
    C. Keller (18), J. Larsson (3)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:47

Penalties

ARI 9 PIM·ANA 7 PIM

2nd

  • 4:29ARIAlex Goligoski · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Volkov2 min
  • 14:05ANASam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min
  • 14:05ARIJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min

3rd

  • 18:46ANAAdam Henrique · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 18:46ARIMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

OT

  • 1:41ANAJamie Drysdale · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Clayton Keller0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalARI goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Jakob Chychrun, OT 1:47 — ARI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.29N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.28T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.25S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.15K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.13D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.10D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.09D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.08N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.07C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.07C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.00M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 1.9 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsANA
2.23 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI56%44%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsANA
31
Shots on goal
20
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/0
Power play
0/1
9
Penalty minutes
7
29
Hits
25
5
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD303+370.32010—25:50
33A. GoligoskiD011+120.08302—24:18
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000000.07100—23:03
46I. LyubushkinD000-120.05110—20:48
8N. SchmaltzC011020.290005319:21
58M. BuntingL000030.22402—19:18
83C. GarlandR011040.13000—18:52
81P. KesselR000010.10000—18:02
18C. DvorakC000010.011006017:37
9C. KellerR011+130.59000—16:59
22J. LarssonL011010.091006215:01
79J. GrossD000-130.04110—14:38
67L. CrouseL000+100.00500—14:15
16D. BrassardC000+100.000004313:17
82J. OesterleD000-100.00220—12:44
36C. FischerR000-110.11200—10:01
93L. PedersonC000-100.05800009:29
15J. HaydenC011+110.08005007:10
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(W)20182.9001.90-0.1061:47

Season series

ARI leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).