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Anaheim Ducks at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A PLUS, KCOP-13·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Dvorak's goal at 15:34 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 55% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.8 to 1.3; shots on goal were ANA 16, ARI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. John Gibson stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Darcy Kuemper stopped 14 of 16 (.875), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Christian Dvorak (2 G), 2. Darcy Kuemper (14 saves, .875), 3. Clayton Keller (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Dvorak2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    D. Kuemper14 saves, .875
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA180117216
ARIARI012112210334

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:16

2nd period

  1. ARI
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:43

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.02win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    0:52
  2. ANA
    D. Heinen(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    8:57
  3. ARI
    C. Dvorak(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +35 pts
    2-3
    15:34

Penalties

ANA 12 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:04ARIJakob Chychrun · Slashingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 16:32ANAserved by R. Rakell · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 0:26ANAKevin Shattenkirk · High stickingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 11:47ANASam Steel · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

3rd

  • 8:32ARITyler Pitlick · Interferencedrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 12:19ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 13:51ANAJakob Silfverberg · High stickingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 16:26ARIConor Garland · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by John Gibson2 min
  • 16:26ANAJohn Gibson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalANA goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Christian Dvorak, 3rd 15:34 — ARI 55% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.19L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.17L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.15T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.14C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.12P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.10L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.10C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.10D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.09A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.07C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.07C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.07D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.06C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.05D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.04D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gross · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gross · On goal · xG 0.02J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gross · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI3 G · 2.8 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsARI
1.32 G
All situations
3 G2.8
0.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA22%78%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.25 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsARI
16
Shots on goal
34
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
26
17
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22K. ShattenkirkD000-140.31024—21:45
67R. RakellR000-120.13120—21:31
47H. LindholmD000-110.01010—20:33
7B. HuttonD000+100.05110—20:01
4C. FowlerD011-120.08010—19:53
32J. LarssonD000+100.00120—19:28
15R. GetzlafC000-110.112104218:18
14A. HenriqueC000+130.302103517:58
28J. HakanpääD000-110.01130—17:27
33J. SilfverbergR101+110.08102—16:23
49M. JonesL000-100.00100—14:36
38D. GrantC000000.001105314:21
43D. HeinenL101+110.17210—13:53
53M. ComtoisL011-100.00200—12:50
24C. RowneyC000000.00100012:00
23S. SteelC000-100.000127511:25
61T. TerryR000-100.00000—09:00
20N. DeslauriersL000000.01200—08:43
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)34313.9122.83-0.1758:20

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).