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Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV FS-A, FS-SD·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2 in overtime, Adam Henrique scoring at 0:47. The Ducks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Henrique's goal at 0:47 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — ARI 2.2, ANA 2.3; shots on goal were ARI 25, ANA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.7 goals below expected; Ryan Miller stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Jamie Drysdale (1 G, 1 A), 2. Trevor Zegras (1 G), 3. Ryan Miller (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Drysdale1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Zegras1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Miller23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI2401101000225
ANAANA01021001011331

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:13
  2. ARI
    snapxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    7:07

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    12:01
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.15win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    14:30

Overtime

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.15win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    0:47

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:31ANARickard Rakell · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 15:07ARIMichael Chaput · Trippingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

2nd

  • 8:17ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 17:17ARILawson Crouse · High stickingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

3rd

  • 6:48ANANicolas Deslauriers · Holdingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 17:33ANAJakob Silfverberg · Holdingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 19:34ARITyler Pitlick · Interferencedrawn by Max Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalARI goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Henrique, OT 0:47 — ANA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.15A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.15A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.11D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.11M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.11I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.11R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.11D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.10I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.08M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.07D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.07M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.06K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.04N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.04M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.03J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.02T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.02M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.02D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.00R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsANA
2.22 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI49%51%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsANA
25
Shots on goal
31
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
6
9
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000+130.19060—23:56
33A. GoligoskiD000020.15420—21:30
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000000.00400—21:13
18C. DvorakC000-120.081004220:58
9C. KellerR101+220.29000—20:04
83C. GarlandR112+240.4410010019:51
8N. SchmaltzC011+210.200103019:11
4N. HjalmarssonD000-100.00000—18:53
82J. OesterleD000-100.00110—17:47
17T. PitlickC000-110.20212017:04
22J. LarssonL000010.072105315:49
67L. CrouseL000-140.36412—15:49
81P. KesselR000010.07000—14:35
46I. LyubushkinD000+110.02200—13:23
16D. BrassardC000020.13000013:19
36C. FischerR000-110.03310—10:02
15J. HaydenC000-100.00420007:46
26M. ChaputC000-100.001124006:45
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(O)31283.9032.26-0.7460:47

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).