Ducks at Coyotes 1-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Anaheim Ducks

▸1

Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A, KCOP-13·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Utah Mammoth 1-0. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Danton Heinen's goal at 10:59 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 46% to 60%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were ANA 24, ARI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. John Gibson stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Darcy Kuemper (23 saves, .958), 3. Danton Heinen (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Gibson31 saves, 1.000
★★
D. Kuemper23 saves, .958
★★★
D. Heinen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	112	02	010	124
ARI	010	014	07	031

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

D. Heinen(1)
Unassisted
wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
1-0
10:59

Penalties

6 PIM·

2 PIM

1st

17:23served by B. Hayton · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

8:43Cam Fowler · Slashingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
19:30Hampus Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min

3rd

6:40Jacob Larsson · Boardingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: ARI

Biggest swing: Danton Heinen, 1st 10:59 — ANA 46% → 60%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.9 xG · 51 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.2 xG · 30 att ARI

0 G · 2.9 xG · 51 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.21 G
All situations: 0 G2.9; 1.61 G
Even strength: 0 G2.4; 0.10 G
Power play: 0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

29%71%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

24
Shots on goal: 31; 55%
Faceoffs: 45%; 0/1
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 2; 23
Hits: 23; 15
Blocked shots: 11; 3
Giveaways: 6; 4
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

Anaheim Ducks skaters
Skater	G	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
47H. LindholmD	0	0	0	1	0.50	0	2	2	—	23:25
7B. HuttonD	0	0	+1	1	0.02	4	3	0	—	20:16
4C. FowlerD	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	2	—	20:07
32J. LarssonD	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	0	2	—	19:20
14A. HenriqueC	0	0	+1	3	0.25	0	0	0	72	19:06
28J. HakanpääD	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	4	0	—	19:00
22K. ShattenkirkD	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	18:50
38D. GrantC	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	1	0	33	17:17
33J. SilfverbergR	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	—	17:10
24C. RowneyC	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	50	16:30
15R. GetzlafC	0	0	0	3	0.34	1	0	0	55	13:54
40V. LettieriC	0	0	+1	2	0.06	4	0	0	0	13:45
43D. HeinenL	1	1	+1	3	0.34	1	1	0	—	13:37
67R. RakellR	0	0	0	3	0.23	2	0	0	—	13:36
53M. ComtoisL	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	2	0	—	13:07
23S. SteelC	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	63	12:47
49M. JonesL	0	0	0	1	0.14	3	0	0	—	11:47
20N. DeslauriersL	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	10:30

Anaheim Ducks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
36J. Gibson(W)	31	31	0	1.000	2.89	+2.89	60:00

Season series

ARI leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Anaheim Ducks at Utah Mammoth

1st period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score