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Flyers at Sabres
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
3
Final/OTTV NBCSP, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-3 in overtime, Ivan Provorov scoring at 0:42. The Flyers came back from three goals down. The Sabres led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Provorov's goal at 0:42 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.2, BUF 2.1; shots on goal were PHI 36, BUF 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.4 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Couturier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ivan Provorov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    I. Provorov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI0801231511436
BUFBUF1132901000332

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    H. Jokiharju(2)
    C. Lazar (4), K. Okposo (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:41

2nd period

  1. BUF
    C. Eakin(2)
    T. Rieder (1), R. Sheahan (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    2:10
  2. BUF
    B. Montour(2)
    T. Thompson (2), T. Hall (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    12:43

3rd period

  1. PHI
    K. Hayes(11)
    T. Sanheim (9)
    slapxG 0.22win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    1:50
  2. PHI
    C. Giroux(9)
    S. Couturier (16), J. Voracek (21)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    10:51
  3. PHI
    S. Couturier(10)
    I. Provorov (12), C. Giroux (18)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    18:31

Overtime

  1. PHI
    I. Provorov(5)
    T. Konecny (14)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:42

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:56PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Hookingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min
  • 19:50PHIScott Laughton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 8:37BUFBrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 12:16BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Cross checkingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalPHI goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Ivan Provorov, OT 0:42 — PHI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.58T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.18T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.13R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.11T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.10H. Jokiharju · Goal · xG 0.08B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.08K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Eakin · Goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.04C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF3 G · 2.1 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsBUF
2.24 G
All situations
3 G2.1
1.74 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI64%36%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 1.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsBUF
36
Shots on goal
32
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
10
Hits
12
11
Blocked shots
16
2
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD112+260.35020—25:27
6T. SanheimD011000.02020—22:00
14S. CouturierC112+140.210005321:44
5P. MyersD000030.17110—21:30
28C. GirouxR112+240.260003320:14
53S. GostisbehereD000020.11000—19:35
61J. BraunD000000.00210—19:15
93J. VoracekR011+130.12010—18:45
21S. LaughtonC000010.111027518:09
25J. van RiemsdykL000+120.04000—16:41
12M. RafflL000010.02300—15:56
13K. HayesR101030.360108015:48
62N. Aube-KubelR000040.2001210015:04
11T. KonecnyR011+110.19010—15:03
55S. MorinL000-110.01300—10:30
86J. FarabeeL000-110.01000—08:40
23O. LindblomL000-100.00000—07:15
19N. PatrickC000-100.020105007:06
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)32293.9061.56-1.4460:06

Season series

PHI leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).