Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Buffalo Sabres beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Curtis Lazar's goal at 15:52 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 46% to 61%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were BUF 37, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Brian Elliott stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (2 G), 2. Curtis Lazar (2 G), 3. Jack Eichel (3 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Reinhart2 G

- ★★C. Lazar2 G

- ★★★J. Eichel3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-015:52
2nd period
2-03:35
3-06:28
4-08:09
3rd period
5-010:47
5-117:55
6-118:49
Penalties
1st
- 2:34
Brandon Montour · Hookingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
2nd
- 2:21
Carter Hart · Trippingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
3rd
- 13:20
Philippe Myers · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
- 18:01
Nicolas Aube-Kubel · High sticking double minordrawn by Rasmus Dahlin4 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Curtis Lazar, 1st 15:52 — 46% → 61%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.76 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.6
- 2.24 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.6
- 0.52 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 1.57
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 28
- Hits
- 24
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 6
- Giveaways
- 11
- 2
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
PHI leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
