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Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, MSG-B·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-0. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Konecny's goal at 17:51 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were BUF 40, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 19 of 20 (.950); Brian Elliott stopped 40 of 40 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brian Elliott (40 saves, 1.000), 2. Travis Konecny (1 G), 3. Ivan Provorov.

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    B. Elliott40 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    I. Provorov

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF011013016040
PHIPHI01119210330

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +22 pts
    0-1
    17:51

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    13:43
  2. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.39win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    18:18

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:40PHIRobert Hagg · Interferencedrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 3:41PHIMichael Raffl · High stickingdrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min
  • 9:07BUFJeff Skinner · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min

2nd

  • 10:35PHIJakub Voracek · Trippingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 19:58BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalBUF goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Konecny, 2nd 17:51 — PHI 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.38T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.19K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.17J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.13M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.10I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.10M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.08S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.05J. Voracek · Goal · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.04J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.02J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.02M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPHI
2.70 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF66%34%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPHI
40
Shots on goal
30
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
37
7
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-120.05210—23:40
9J. EichelC000-240.330005220:58
23S. ReinhartC000-220.42000020:54
4T. HallL000-260.58300—20:38
10H. JokiharjuD000010.01100—19:42
55R. RistolainenD000-130.07302—18:51
33C. MillerD000-110.03110—18:43
26R. DahlinD000-220.04100—18:34
68V. OlofssonL000-100.05000—17:11
19J. McCabeD000-100.00210—16:57
12E. StaalC000050.201003615:59
53J. SkinnerL000-150.39012—14:33
27C. LazarC000-120.051006314:09
20C. EakinC000010.110003113:37
13T. RiederL000030.10230—12:30
24D. CozensC000010.1410010011:28
15R. SheahanC000-100.000006311:21
74R. AsplundC000020.13000007:20
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(L)20191.9501.35+0.3539:53
34J. Johansson981.8890.49-0.5119:02

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).