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Golden Knights at Avalanche
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche

Final/OTTV NHLN, ATTSN-RM·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 in overtime, Max Pacioretty scoring at 1:56. The Avalanche scored first; the Golden Knights answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 1:56 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were VGK 34, COL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Philipp Grubauer stopped 31 of 34 (.912).

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK11211001012334
COLCOL210090401224

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:16
  2. VGK
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    16:32
  3. COL
    slapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:35

2nd period

  1. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:40

Overtime

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.36win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:56

Penalties

VGK 9 PIM·COL 13 PIM

1st

  • 1:22VGKKeegan Kolesar · Fightingdrawn by Dan Renouf5 min
  • 1:22COLDan Renouf · Fightingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar5 min
  • 7:46VGKNicolas Hague · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 14:38COLGabriel Landeskog · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

2nd

  • 9:28COLRyan Graves · Interferencedrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min
  • 12:31VGKZach Whitecloud · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 4:39COLNathan MacKinnon · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 9:02COLRyan Graves · Holdingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVGK goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Max Pacioretty, OT 1:56 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.16J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.15C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.13B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.13J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.12J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.10L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.09B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.09R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.07D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 2.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCOL
3.43 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
1.31 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK67%33%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCOL
34
Shots on goal
24
37%
Faceoffs
63%
1/4
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
13
18
Hits
8
18
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD011+140.22030—26:49
23A. MartinezD101+130.28040—25:55
71W. KarlssonC000020.241005622:10
61M. StoneR000-200.10010—20:54
19R. SmithR000020.32110—20:44
20C. StephensonC011-250.834002319:48
67M. PaciorettyL112-130.55020—19:26
81J. MarchessaultR000020.10100—19:03
2Z. WhitecloudD000-120.03202—17:47
3B. McNabbD000-110.00220—17:21
89A. TuchR011+120.16100—15:59
52D. CoghlanD000000.02300—15:46
14N. HagueD000-110.04122—15:02
92T. NosekL011+130.190203613:59
28W. CarrierL101+120.09000—09:12
10N. RoyC000010.060102508:54
75R. ReavesR000+100.00200—07:12
55K. KolesarR000010.1400510005:47
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)24222.9172.30+0.3061:56

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).