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Avalanche at Golden Knights
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
0
Vegas Golden Knights
▸1
FinalTV NBCSN, SN·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Colorado Avalanche 1-0. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 1:38 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 30, VGK 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Max Pacioretty (1 G), 3. Zach Whitecloud (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Fleury30 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    Z. Whitecloud1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL09011010030
VGKVGK091906124

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(7)
    Z. Whitecloud (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:38

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 0:42COLserved by J. Megna · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 4:34COLConor Timmins · High stickingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min

2nd

  • 9:58VGKAlec Martinez · Holdingdrawn by Jayson Megna2 min
  • 11:28COLConor Timmins · Interferencedrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCOL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Max Pacioretty, 2nd 1:38 — VGK 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.71J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.31J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.22R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.19N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.15W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.14J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.14J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.14M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.14J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.12W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.11N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.07A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.03D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.00A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 3.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVGK
2.10 G
All situations
1 G3.0
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL46%54%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVGK
30
Shots on goal
24
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
33
Hits
34
19
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
3
10
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000-140.06130—25:56
4B. ByramD000000.00530—23:07
29N. MacKinnonC000040.271106122:34
27R. GravesD000040.07330—21:35
96M. RantanenR000030.162005020:59
34J. MacDonaldD000020.16010—19:41
22C. TimminsD000-110.00124—19:00
20B. SaadL000010.2621010018:21
95A. BurakovskyL000020.33100—17:30
72J. DonskoiR000-100.00010—16:14
91N. KadriC000-110.033005015:58
13V. NichushkinR000-110.11300—13:12
37J. CompherL000020.202105613:10
25L. O'ConnorR000030.26420—12:55
41P. BellemareL000010.042005012:12
9D. GilbertD000000.00010—08:16
15S. DriesC000000.04000007:41
12J. MegnaC000010.1530010007:12
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)24231.9582.33+1.3358:27

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).