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Golden Knights at Avalanche
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-1. The Golden Knights scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 9:15 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were VGK 19, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.7 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.6 goals saved above expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK150509119
COLCOL0941617532

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(17)
    M. Stone (27), A. Martinez (14)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:40

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Donskoi(11)PPG
    S. Girard (20), D. Toews (13)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:04
  2. COL
    J. Compher(3)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    9:15
  3. COL
    C. Makar(3)
    L. O'Connor (1), G. Landeskog (18)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    12:37
  4. COL
    G. Landeskog(11)
    M. Rantanen (20), C. Makar (16)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    15:41

3rd period

  1. COL
    P. Bellemare(4)
    J. Compher (4)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    3:54

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:50COLNazem Kadri · High stickingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 10:11VGKMax Pacioretty · Boardingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min

2nd

  • 2:08VGKTomas Nosek · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 6:24VGKserved by K. Kolesar · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:47VGKJonathan Marchessault · Holdingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVGK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 2nd 9:15 — COL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.34J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.23L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.23C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.16J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.14J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.13A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.13B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.13P. Bellemare · Goal · xG 0.11J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.11C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.10D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.08P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01
COL5 G · 3.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCOL
1.61 G
All situations
5 G3.3
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK22%78%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCOL
19
Shots on goal
32
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
20
3
Giveaways
2
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. MartinezD011020.21040—21:16
27S. TheodoreD000-310.03100—20:29
14N. HagueD000000.01310—20:05
3B. McNabbD000-100.00120—19:59
2Z. WhitecloudD000-100.00100—19:29
89A. TuchR000-130.56300—18:21
19R. SmithR000-210.12100—17:16
22N. HoldenD000-110.07110—16:53
20C. StephensonC000+120.040008616:49
92T. NosekL000-110.021124716:41
61M. StoneR011+100.05110—16:19
71W. KarlssonC000-220.050006916:05
67M. PaciorettyL101020.11022—15:36
81J. MarchessaultR000-200.001027514:48
10N. RoyC000000.001001713:04
55K. KolesarR000-130.14200—11:42
75R. ReavesR000-100.20200—09:18
28W. CarrierL000-110.01400—07:55
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)32275.8443.28-1.7260:00

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).