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Avalanche at Golden Knights
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 19:19 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 25, VGK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (1 G), 2. Alec Martinez, 3. Max Pacioretty (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. Kadri1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    A. Martinez
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Pacioretty1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL191818325
VGKVGK07112110229

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(3)
    M. Rantanen (4), B. Saad (4)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:08

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(8)PPG
    S. Theodore (8), W. Karlsson (6)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    16:36
  2. COL
    B. Saad(6)
    J. Donskoi (4), R. Graves (2)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    17:39

3rd period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(5)
    W. Karlsson (7), R. Smith (3)
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    6:52
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(4)
    J. Donskoi (5), B. Byram (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +47 pts
    3-2
    19:19

Penalties

COL 9 PIM·VGK 11 PIM

1st

  • 1:56VGKKeegan Kolesar · Fightingdrawn by Dennis Gilbert5 min
  • 1:56COLDennis Gilbert · Fightingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar5 min
  • 3:30VGKAlec Martinez · Hookingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 8:44VGKShea Theodore · Trippingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 11:46VGKCody Glass · Hookingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min

2nd

  • 16:04COLJacob MacDonald · Trippingdrawn by William Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 2:25COLSheldon Dries · Holdingdrawn by William Carrier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCOL goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 3rd 19:19 — COL 49% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.28A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.28N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.23R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.18A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.17W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.17A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.13N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.11M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.10R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.06C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01
VGK2 G · 3.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVGK
2.13 G
All situations
2 G3.2
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL31%69%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 3.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVGK
25
Shots on goal
29
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
10
Hits
17
22
Blocked shots
21
2
Giveaways
2
2
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000-120.04160—26:48
4B. ByramD011+110.01020—25:03
27R. GravesD011+220.08120—24:48
29N. MacKinnonC101+140.370103621:24
22C. TimminsD000+110.01010—20:15
96M. RantanenR011020.120205019:26
95A. BurakovskyL000-100.23000—18:49
37J. CompherL000-100.020004517:39
91N. KadriC101+230.213005017:12
20B. SaadL112+330.2902010016:19
13V. NichushkinR000010.15210—15:56
34J. MacDonaldD000+110.17012—15:32
72J. DonskoiR022+210.0600010014:57
25L. O'ConnorR000030.30010—13:53
41P. BellemareL000000.000306010:42
12J. MegnaC000010.01000009:21
15S. DriesC000000.00202007:25
9D. GilbertD000000.00105—01:59
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)29272.9313.22+1.2260:00

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).