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Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SNP, TSN3·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Copp's goal at 10:50 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 68% to 84%. Expected goals were close — WPG 3.7, VAN 3.9; shots on goal were WPG 36, VAN 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Copp (4 G), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (38 saves, .974), 3. Josh Morrissey.

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Copp4 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck38 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG01231628536
VANVAN01102018139

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    A. Copp(7)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    5:53
  2. WPG
    A. Copp(8)PPG
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    10:50
  3. WPG
    snapxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    18:13

3rd period

  1. WPG
    A. Copp(9)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.48
    4-0
    15:50
  2. WPG
    backhandxG 0.24
    5-0
    17:34
  3. VAN
    B. Horvat (13), B. Boeser (17)
    backhandxG 0.08
    5-1
    18:35

Penalties

WPG 9 PIM·VAN 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:42VANBrock Boeser · Trippingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 13:08WPGserved by M. Perreault · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:19VANZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Logan Stanley5 min
  • 18:19WPGLogan Stanley · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min

2nd

  • 4:35VANserved by J. Virtanen · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:59VANserved by J. Virtanen · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:18WPGLogan Stanley · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalWPG goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Andrew Copp, 2nd 10:50 — WPG 68% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.27T. Graovac · On goal · xG 0.25J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.24A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.22J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.20B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.17B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.15J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.15B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.14J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.13J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.13J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.11J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · Goal · xG 0.08A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07T. Graovac · Missed · xG 0.07J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.06J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.04T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.04Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.03A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.03A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01
VAN1 G · 3.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVAN
3.74 G
All situations
1 G3.9
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G3.1
1.22 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG38%62%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.10 – 3.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVAN
36
Shots on goal
39
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
17
Hits
20
20
Blocked shots
9
3
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-120.11120—24:24
3T. PoolmanD000000.03140—20:08
24D. ForbortD000+100.01020—19:47
55M. ScheifeleC101+140.470103619:17
4N. PionkD011+220.09120—19:10
25P. StastnyC011+120.151106217:26
2D. DeMeloD000+110.00220—17:12
26B. WheelerR011+130.33020—17:08
9A. CoppC404+140.9110010016:59
81K. ConnorL000030.24000—16:40
17A. LowryC011+100.001106515:21
27N. EhlersL011050.43010—14:40
64L. StanleyD000+130.06107—14:24
13P. DuboisC011030.580002313:52
22M. AppletonC011+120.04000013:51
85M. PerreaultC011020.18410012:54
11N. ThompsonC000000.002003312:02
23T. LewisC000000.05210011:13
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)39381.9743.92+2.9259:32

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).