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Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV NHLN, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vancouver Canucks 2-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 7:25 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.1 to 3.7; shots on goal were WPG 31, VAN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 3.7 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Laurent Brossoit (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Thatcher Demko (29 saves, .967), 3. Mark Scheifele (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    L. Brossoit29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Demko29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1150818231
VANVAN0901109029

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:25

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.95win prob +7 pts
    2-0
    18:43

Penalties

WPG 16 PIM·VAN 16 PIM

1st

  • 13:41VANLoui Eriksson · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
  • 17:03VANJ.T. Miller · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 4:05WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 17:31WPGPaul Stastny · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min

3rd

  • 19:18WPGDerek Forbort · Holdingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 19:18WPGDerek Forbort · Game misconduct10 min
  • 19:18VANJake Virtanen · Roughingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 19:18VANJake Virtanen · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalWPG goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 1st 7:25 — WPG 46% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.35J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.23E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.21N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.20T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.20E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.20B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.19A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.18A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.14J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.14B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.13E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.12T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.11A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.07B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.07Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.05O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01O. Juolevi · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.00O. Juolevi · Missed · xG 0.00A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN0 G · 3.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVAN
4.11 G
All situations
0 G3.7
2.21 G
Even strength
0 G2.9
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG42%58%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVAN
31
Shots on goal
29
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
16
19
Hits
24
18
Blocked shots
6
6
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD011+200.16210—23:56
24D. ForbortD000+200.011212—22:31
44J. MorrisseyD000010.03300—22:12
55M. ScheifeleC101+120.290004520:34
9A. CoppC000+130.22030020:10
26B. WheelerR000+150.67012—19:09
81K. ConnorL000+120.31000—18:40
17A. LowryC000+110.055106218:30
27N. EhlersL000030.57000—17:33
3T. PoolmanD000020.02220—17:25
25P. StastnyC000010.150325516:09
88N. BeaulieuD000010.01100—15:04
2D. DeMeloD000010.00100—14:51
85M. PerreaultC000030.33110012:51
22M. AppletonC101+131.14120012:48
23T. LewisC000020.01110008:12
12J. HarkinsC000010.11000007:49
11N. ThompsonC000000.001106706:56
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30L. Brossoit(W)292901.0003.67+3.6759:58

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).