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Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NHLN, CBC·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zack MacEwen's goal at 6:58 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were VAN 39, WPG 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Brock Boeser (2 G), 2. Thatcher Demko (23 saves, .958), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (35 saves, .921).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Boeser2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Demko23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck35 saves, .921

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN28115116439
WPGWPG1130506124

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:29
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    2:03
  3. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.32win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    8:17

2nd period

  1. VAN
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    6:58

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.59win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:59

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·WPG 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:41WPGKyle Connor · Hookingdrawn by Jay Beagle2 min

2nd

  • 2:28VANBo Horvat · Holdingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu2 min
  • 13:20WPGDerek Forbort · Slashingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 16:50VANTanner Pearson · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 16:50WPGMark Scheifele · Cross checkingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min

3rd

  • 7:59WPGBlake Wheeler · Holdingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 11:12VANJalen Chatfield · Holdingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 11:12WPGAndrew Copp · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVAN goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Zack MacEwen, 2nd 6:58 — VAN 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.28M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.17M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.12M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.09A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.08A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.08A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.03T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsWPG
3.73 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN62%38%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsWPG
39
Shots on goal
24
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
10
12
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD000+130.10020—22:56
88N. SchmidtD011+170.27030—22:21
9J. MillerC011+320.331006721:18
40E. PetterssonC011+240.430102920:55
6B. BoeserR202+270.93210—20:51
23A. EdlerD011+110.01010—20:08
43Q. HughesD000+110.06000—19:15
53B. HorvatC011+110.120025019:02
63J. ChatfieldD000+100.00102—17:33
70T. PearsonL011000.11002—16:44
36N. HoglanderL101030.44120—14:51
64T. MotteC000020.0741010014:33
26A. RousselL000000.00110—13:18
8J. BennD011+120.04000—12:39
20B. SutterC000030.651006411:48
83J. BeagleC000000.000006011:45
71Z. MacEwenR101+120.16200—07:07
96A. GaudetteR000010.021006707:06
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)24231.9582.48+1.4859:50

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).