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Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV NBCSN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andre Burakovsky's goal at 14:05 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were LAK 28, COL 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 37 of 40 (.925); Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.9 goals saved above expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0908111128
COLCOL12021417441

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:05

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri (13), B. Saad (7)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    14:05
  2. COL
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    17:09

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    6:07
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.92win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    16:41

Penalties

LAK 2 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:08LAKAdrian Kempe · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 12:36COLLogan O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 18:34COLserved by A. Burakovsky · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 2:28COLNazem Kadri · Interferencedrawn by Michael Amadio2 min

3rd

  • 9:33COLRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Matt Luff2 min
  • 16:50COLNazem Kadri · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Andre Burakovsky, 2nd 14:05 — COL 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.92L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.23L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.20A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.18M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.17M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.14V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.14A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.12J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.11L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00D. Renouf · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 3.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
1.91 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK36%64%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
41
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/5
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
16
11
Blocked shots
20
3
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-220.07210—27:20
44M. AndersonD000-130.07010—20:16
11A. KopitarC011-220.172106320:01
19A. IafalloL011-210.16100—18:48
77J. CarterC000-130.30100018:12
26S. WalkerD000+110.07320—17:35
9A. KempeR000-220.05102—17:32
10M. AmadioR000-110.070304417:07
13G. VilardiC000-110.110003816:47
3M. RoyD000-200.02010—16:27
91C. GrundstromR000020.11210—15:52
22A. AthanasiouC000030.37000015:34
33T. BjornfotD000-200.00100—15:33
12T. MooreL000-120.07200—13:19
56K. MacDermidL101+120.07210—12:36
27A. WagnerL000010.10300—12:23
46B. LizotteC000000.001002911:44
64M. LuffR000-120.13000—11:33
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(L)40373.9252.70-0.3059:21

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).