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Avalanche at Kings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

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Colorado Avalanche
2
Los Angeles Kings
▸4
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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-2. The Kings came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adrian Kempe's goal at 16:04 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals were close — COL 3.0, LAK 2.9; shots on goal were COL 26, LAK 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Hunter Miska stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.6 goals below expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (24 saves, .923), 2. Drew Doughty (1 G), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Quick24 saves, .923
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL21201004226
LAKLAK0721228427

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(3)
    N. MacKinnon (5)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    4:49
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(2)PPG
    C. Makar (4), M. Rantanen (2)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    19:15

2nd period

  1. LAK
    D. Doughty(1)PPG
    A. Kopitar (5), J. Carter (4)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    3:35
  2. LAK
    G. Vilardi(2)PPG
    S. Walker (1), A. Athanasiou (1)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    17:50

3rd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe(2)
    A. Kopitar (6), A. Iafallo (2)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +39 pts
    2-3
    16:04
  2. LAK
    B. Lizotte(2)EN
    T. Moore (1)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:18

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·LAK 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:33COLBowen Byram · Holdingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 9:35LAKTrevor Moore · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 11:37COLNazem Kadri · Hookingdrawn by Kale Clague2 min
  • 18:22LAKBlake Lizotte · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min

2nd

  • 1:57COLTyson Jost · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min
  • 2:36COLGreg Pateryn · Trippingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 7:29LAKKale Clague · Hookingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 17:11COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Interferencedrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

3rd

  • 3:38LAKDustin Brown · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Adrian Kempe, 3rd 16:04 — LAK 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Lizotte · Goal · xG 0.56A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.35D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.15M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.15A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.11T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.09D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.09B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.07D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.06A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.05B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.03M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02L. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
3.02 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.81 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL60%40%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
26
Shots on goal
27
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
15
15
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
8
0
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
96M. RantanenR112-160.54010—23:32
29N. MacKinnonC112-150.631006423:09
8C. MakarD011-100.12010—22:53
92G. LandeskogL000-130.494206022:03
7D. ToewsD000-110.03010—19:55
91N. KadriC000-120.250025319:16
49S. GirardD000+100.03200—18:41
20B. SaadL000-100.00100—16:49
27R. GravesD000040.30020—16:37
5G. PaterynD000020.05132—14:54
13V. NichushkinR000000.20420—14:26
37J. CompherL000010.051203313:20
11M. CalvertL000010.05000—13:03
17T. JostC000000.000026712:19
41P. BellemareL000000.110026311:39
4B. ByramD000010.09002—11:19
72J. DonskoiR000000.08000—10:58
22C. TimminsD000000.00010—08:45
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32H. Miska(L)26233.8852.38-0.6258:05

Season series

COL leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).