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Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Devon Toews's goal at 14:11 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 69% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 24, LAK 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Cal Petersen stopped 21 of 24 (.875). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 A), 2. Devon Toews (1 G), 3. Andreas Athanasiou (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    D. Toews1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Athanasiou1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1921005324
LAKLAK090828225

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.29win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:07

2nd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(2)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:11
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +6 pts
    3-0
    16:06

3rd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    7:50
  2. LAK
    A. Kempe(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    3-2
    14:22

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·LAK 12 PIM

1st

  • 7:03LAKMikey Anderson · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 2:00COLRyan Graves · Interferencedrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 8:50LAKJeff Carter · Interferencedrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 12:32LAKDustin Brown · Cross checkingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 15:57LAKAdrian Kempe · Holdingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 16:06LAKMatt Roy · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 18:32COLJ.T. Compher · Interferencedrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min

3rd

  • 3:31LAKAnze Kopitar · Holdingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 14:09COLNazem Kadri · High stickingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Devon Toews, 2nd 14:11 — COL 69% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.39A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.24A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.15A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.14A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.11A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.07A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.07A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.07A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.06C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.04D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.04L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.03G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.03K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02L. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.01K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 2.1 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
4.03 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.92 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL63%37%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
24
Shots on goal
25
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/6
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
12
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD101+110.07160—25:40
8C. MakarD000000.01120—24:34
29N. MacKinnonC022020.590004323:10
92G. LandeskogL011020.731004021:56
96M. RantanenR101030.50010—19:44
49S. GirardD011000.00000—18:03
91N. KadriC000041.051027517:56
11M. CalvertL011+120.22000—15:57
72J. DonskoiR011010.11100—15:33
20B. SaadL101020.30000—15:18
17T. JostC000000.001006714:59
37J. CompherL000000.051021312:55
27R. GravesD000-120.06312—12:52
41P. BellemareL000010.010008912:42
13V. NichushkinR000-130.29010—12:07
6E. JohnsonD000000.00120—11:47
22C. TimminsD000010.03010—10:41
9D. GilbertD000000.00100—09:54
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)25232.9202.08+0.0859:59

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).