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Sabres at Islanders
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV MSG+ 2, MSG-B·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 14:58 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were BUF 18, NYI 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 40 of 45 (.889), 1.7 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 16 of 18 (.889). Three stars: 1. Matt Martin (2 G), 2. Jordan Eberle (1 G, 1 A), 3. Casey Cizikas (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Martin2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF061517218
NYINYI218114213545

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    N. Dobson(2)
    J. Eberle (5), M. Barzal (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:25
  2. NYI
    M. Martin(3)
    C. Cizikas (4), C. Clutterbuck (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:21

2nd period

  1. BUF
    T. Hall(2)
    C. Eakin (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    3:08
  2. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(2)
    B. Nelson (5), J. Bailey (11)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    14:58

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(9)
    A. Lee (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    3:14
  2. BUF
    R. Ristolainen(3)
    J. Eichel (14), S. Reinhart (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    2-4
    7:23
  3. NYI
    M. Martin(4)
    C. Cizikas (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    14:28

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:05BUFserved by D. Cozens · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:34BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

3rd

  • 6:17NYIAnders Lee · Roughingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 6:17BUFColin Miller · Roughingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 12:00BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Trippingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalBUF goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 2nd 14:58 — NYI 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.24N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.17B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.14N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.14M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.13C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.13A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10M. Martin · Goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.09C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.06O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.05M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.04M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.02O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.02O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.02M. Martin · Goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.00C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 3.3 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYI
1.82 G
All situations
5 G3.3
1.22 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF23%77%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYI
18
Shots on goal
45
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/0
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
13
8
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
11
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
78J. BrysonD000+110.03420—24:10
62B. MontourD000-110.02400—21:48
55R. RistolainenD101-330.14204—18:54
10H. JokiharjuD000020.02100—18:52
26R. DahlinD000-400.00100—18:42
33C. MillerD000000.00502—18:31
9J. EichelC011-220.532103317:48
23S. ReinhartC011000.04000017:44
68V. OlofssonL000-210.02000—16:30
24D. CozensC000-300.0610010015:39
4T. HallL101+120.16000—15:09
12E. StaalC000020.140102914:50
27C. LazarC000-100.081105714:25
15R. SheahanC000-100.000005012:59
13T. RiederL000010.05020—11:56
20C. EakinC011020.233105611:56
21K. OkposoR000+100.07200—11:48
53J. SkinnerL000-110.18000—10:46
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Johansson(L)45405.8893.34-1.6659:33

Season series

NYI leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).