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Islanders at Lightning
NHL

New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸2
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
Final/2OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1 in double overtime, Jordan Eberle scoring at 12:30. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 12:30 of the second overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYI 24, TBL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (36 saves, .973), 2. Jordan Eberle (1 G), 3. Victor Hedman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle1 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
NYINYI1506050414224
TBLTBL09160100408137

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    R. Pulock(2)PPG
    N. Leddy (4), M. Barzal (11)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    15:41

2nd period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(8)
    B. Coleman (6), L. Schenn (2)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:00

2OT overtime

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(5)
    A. Lee (3)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +52 pts
    2-1
    12:30

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:01NYICal Clutterbuck · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min
  • 14:09TBLNikita Kucherov · Trippingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

2nd

  • 14:48TBLCedric Paquette · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

3rd

  • 0:44TBLBlake Coleman · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 18:37NYIAnthony Beauvillier · High sticking double minordrawn by Mikhail Sergachev4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYI goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 2OT 12:30 — NYI 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.45O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.17C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.15K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.14A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.14M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.11C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.11P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.10T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.09M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.06C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.06A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.05O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL1 G · 3.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTBL
1.82 G
All situations
1 G3.3
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI26%74%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 3.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTBL
24
Shots on goal
37
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
75
Hits
70
32
Blocked shots
30
31
Giveaways
26
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD000+100.00710—31:59
13M. BarzalC011020.352105731:28
12J. BaileyR000000.00010—31:11
2N. LeddyD011010.01320—31:00
29B. NelsonC000-110.174406130:46
44J. PageauC000000.121205329:52
25D. ToewsD000-100.00120—29:03
24S. MayfieldD000030.03520—28:50
18A. BeauvillierR000020.02604—28:19
6R. PulockD101+120.07640—28:02
27A. LeeL011+130.234106726:27
7J. EberleR101020.32310—22:46
4A. GreeneD000-100.00200—20:52
15C. ClutterbuckR000020.25101210020:44
47L. KomarovR000020.09820—18:57
17M. MartinL000010.12520—18:52
10D. BrassardC000010.053003316:43
55J. BoychukD000020.02560—12:04
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)37361.9733.35+2.3591:12

Series

TBL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).